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NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.Buy Wait5.8·$301.60+1.91%
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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Wait for pullback to $292.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $301.60. Engine's entry $292.14 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

NXP Semiconductors is a global semiconductor company with $12,269M in 2025 revenue, providing embedded processors, mixed-signal analog, connectivity, security, and RF devices for automotive (largest end market), industrial/IoT, mobile, and communication infrastructure. NXP... Read more

$301.60+14.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.65%
IncomeYield1.37%(5y avg 1.68%)Payout38.78%sustainable
Entry $292.14(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $261.91Target $333.15(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1Setup A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$302.39+0.3%31 analysts
$333.15our TP
$301.60price
$302.39mean
$200
$380

Wait for pullback to $292.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $301.60. Engine's entry $292.14 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.82, quality 8.0/10, growth 7.8/10). Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$74.7B
EV/EBITDA20.0
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE25.8%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.79
Dividend1.37%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume
6.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $284.78Resistance $339.95

Price Targets

$262
$292
$333
A.Upside+10.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NXPI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $292.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $301.60. Engine's entry $292.14 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.82, quality 8.0/10, growth 7.8/10). Target $333.15 (+10.5%), stop $261.91 (−15.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NXPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $333.15 (+14.0% upside). Target $333.15 (+10.5%), stop $261.91 (−15.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $261.91.

What are the risks of investing in NXPI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is NXPI overvalued or undervalued?

NXP Semiconductors N.V. trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NXPI?

39 analysts cover NXPI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $302.

What does NXP Semiconductors N.V. do?NXP Semiconductors is a global semiconductor company with $12,269M in 2025 revenue, providing embedded processors,...

NXP Semiconductors is a global semiconductor company with $12,269M in 2025 revenue, providing embedded processors, mixed-signal analog, connectivity, security, and RF devices for automotive (largest end market), industrial/IoT, mobile, and communication infrastructure. NXP employs a hybrid manufacturing model using owned fabs and third-party foundries (TSMC, Samsung), with back-end assembly primarily in Asia.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · ADI (Analog Devices, Inc.) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.)
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