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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Wait for pullback to $256.12. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $295.10. Engine's entry $256.12 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.7% away).

NXP Semiconductors is a global semiconductor company with $12,269M in 2025 revenue, providing embedded processors, mixed-signal analog, connectivity, security, and RF devices for automotive (largest end market), industrial/IoT, mobile, and communication infrastructure. NXP... Read more

$295.10+12.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.20%
IncomeYield1.38%(5y avg 1.68%)Payout38.78%sustainable
Entry $256.12(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $234.56Target $300.49(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1Setup A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$300.13+1.7%31 analysts
$300.49our TP
$295.10price
$300.13mean
$200
$380

Wait for pullback to $256.12. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $295.10. Engine's entry $256.12 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.75, quality 8.2/10, growth 7.8/10). Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.6Qual8.2Grw7.8Mom4.9Sent5.7Ins5.0Peer4.5Tech4.9Risk5.56.0OVERALL

Recent Developments — NXP Semiconductors N.V.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.7% away)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.2
P/E (Fwd)16.7
Mkt Cap$74.3B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE25.8%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.78
Dividend1.38%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$185-37.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $228.41Resistance $306.62

Price Targets

$235
$256
$300
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R-0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NXPI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $256.12. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $295.10. Engine's entry $256.12 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.75, quality 8.2/10, growth 7.8/10). Target $300.49 (+1.8%), stop $234.56 (−25.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NXPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $300.49 (+12.0% upside). Target $300.49 (+1.8%), stop $234.56 (−25.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $234.56.

What are the risks of investing in NXPI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.7% away); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is NXPI overvalued or undervalued?

NXP Semiconductors N.V. trades at a P/E of 28.2 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NXPI?

39 analysts cover NXPI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $300.

What does NXP Semiconductors N.V. do?NXP Semiconductors is a global semiconductor company with $12,269M in 2025 revenue, providing embedded processors,...

NXP Semiconductors is a global semiconductor company with $12,269M in 2025 revenue, providing embedded processors, mixed-signal analog, connectivity, security, and RF devices for automotive (largest end market), industrial/IoT, mobile, and communication infrastructure. NXP employs a hybrid manufacturing model using owned fabs and third-party foundries (TSMC, Samsung), with back-end assembly primarily in Asia.

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