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UMCUnited Microelectronics CorporaHold6.1·$16.06
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United Microelectronics Corporation has beaten or met earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of 28%, carries strong margins of 21% and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, but trades at essentially zero upside to resistance and negative asymmetry, leaving no room for a favorable entry at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Piotroski Quality↑Improving
  • Earnings Beats With Large Surprises↓Deteriorating
  • Price At Resistance Zero Upside↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United Microelectronics Corpora (UMC) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer... Read more

$16.06-8.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#23 of 52 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield111.62%
IncomeYield2.50%(5y avg 4.73%)Payout37.46%sustainable
Stop $15.43Analyst target $14.62(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$17.20+7.1%4 analysts with price targets
$16.06price
$17.20mean
$13
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — United Microelectronics Corpora

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 27, 202783d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$40.3B
EV/EBITDA-0.3
Profit Mgn31.9%
ROE20.4%
Rev Growth25.6%
Beta1.83
Dividend2.50%
Analysts with ratings30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$13-19.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.8
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+12.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.57%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
18 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.91Resistance $23.32

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.9%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.9% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-27 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UMC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $14.62 reached (−8.9%), stop $15.43 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UMC stock price target?

Analyst target $14.62 reached (−8.9% from $16.06); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $14.62 reached (−8.9%), stop $15.43 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $15.43.

What are the risks of investing in UMC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is UMC overvalued or undervalued?

United Microelectronics Corpora trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UMC?

30 analysts rate UMC, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $17.

What does United Microelectronics Corpora do?United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan,...

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer fabrication; and assembly and testing services for communication devices, consumer electronics, computer, and other applications. It also provides venture capital and marketing support; consulting and planning; energy technical; solar engineering integrated design; research and development services; and insurance services. United Microelectronics Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · MRVL (Marvell Technology, Inc.) · RMBS (Rambus, Inc.)
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