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TTCToro Company (The)Sell5.3·$97.08+0.10%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Toro Company has achieved four consecutive earnings beats with excellent free cash flow conversion of 197% and a strong Piotroski score, but the stock offers only 5% upside to analyst targets and the reward-to-risk profile does not yet meet the bar for adding a new position.

Thesis pillars

  • Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Thin Upside AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Toro Company (The) (TTC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

Toro Company designs and manufactures outdoor maintenance equipment across two segments: Professional (turf maintenance, snow and ice management, underground construction, irrigation) at 80.3% of fiscal 2025 net sales and Residential at 19.0%, distributed through dealers,... Read more

$97.08-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#5 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.25%
IncomeYield1.61%(5y avg 1.50%)Payout44.38%sustainable
Stop $91.60Target $96.12(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$109.25+12.5%4 analysts
$96.12our TP
$97.08price
$109.25mean
$120

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Toro Company (The)

About Toro Company (The)

The Toro Company splits its fiscal 2025 net sales between its Professional segment at 80.3%, serving golf courses, sports fields, municipalities, landscaping contractors, and construction companies, and its Residential segment at 19.0%, targeting homeowners with mowers, snow throwers, and yard tools. International net sales represented 19.5% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025, spanning manufacturing in eight countries and sales offices across ten. In December 2025, Toro acquired Tornado Infrastructure Equipment of Calgary, Alberta for CAD $279.3 million, broadening its underground construction portfolio.

The Professional segment drives the vast majority of revenue through original equipment sales distributed via a network of distributors and dealers, as well as directly to government customers and rental companies, under brands including Toro, Ditch Witch, eXmark, Ventrac, BOSS, Spartan, and American Augers. The Residential segment sells Toro-branded mowers, snow throwers, and yard tools primarily through mass retailers and home centers. The company generates additional revenue from separately priced extended warranty coverage on select products. The cost structure faces exposure to steel, aluminum, petroleum-based resins, copper, rubber, and engines. Tariffs on certain engines imported from China have been a recurring headwind. Toro has historically partially offset commodity cost increases through selective pricing adjustments and Lean manufacturing productivity initiatives, though these measures have not consistently neutralized margin compression during periods of elevated material costs.

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Single-source supplier dependence is the most explicitly quantified supply chain risk in the 10-K: certain components are sourced from specific suppliers with no practical short-term alternatives, a configuration that has caused actual availability disruptions in recent fiscal years when those suppliers could not meet production requirements and substitutes could not be found in time. The underlying exposure is compounded by antidumping and countervailing duty petitions on certain engines imported from China, specifically flagged as an ongoing cost headwind. The company's manufacturing footprint across eight countries provides geographic flexibility in final assembly but that flexibility does not extend to inputs sourced from single-supplier relationships, creating a structural vulnerability that geographic diversification cannot fully offset.

See also: Industrials · Tools & Accessories

From Toro Company (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.0
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$9.2B
EV/EBITDA15.1
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE23.9%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.69
Dividend1.61%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV32%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.7
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.88Resistance $98.08

Price Targets

$92
$96
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $91.60. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.12 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $91.60. Stop-loss: $91.60.

What are the risks of investing in TTC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TTC overvalued or undervalued?

Toro Company (The) trades at a P/E of 28.0 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTC?

10 analysts cover TTC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $109.

What does Toro Company (The) do?Toro Company designs and manufactures outdoor maintenance equipment across two segments: Professional (turf...

Toro Company designs and manufactures outdoor maintenance equipment across two segments: Professional (turf maintenance, snow and ice management, underground construction, irrigation) at 80.3% of fiscal 2025 net sales and Residential at 19.0%, distributed through dealers, distributors, mass retailers, and direct channels globally. International net sales represented 19.5% of fiscal 2025 consolidated net sales; in December 2025, Toro acquired Tornado Infrastructure Equipment of Calgary, Alberta for CAD $279.3 million.

Related stocks: KMT (Kennametal Inc.) · HLMN (Hillman Solutions Corp.) · SWK (Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.) · LECO (Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.) · RBC (RBC Bearings Incorporated)
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