RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Tools & Accessories
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $621.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.7% away).
RBC Bearings is an international manufacturer of precision bearings, gearings, and engineered components serving aerospace/defense (36% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and industrial markets (64%), operating 54 facilities in 11 countries. It sells to OEMs, defense primes, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $621.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
RBC Bearings carried a $2.3 billion order backlog as of March 28, 2026—more than double the $0.9 billion recorded at March 29, 2025—with $1.1 billion attributable to marine-related programs and $0.6 billion to VACCO programs. The Industrial segment contributed 58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026, with Aerospace & Defense accounting for the remaining 42%. The company employed 5,816 people across 44 manufacturing facilities in 11 countries, and the top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35% of net sales during fiscal 2026, down from 44% in fiscal 2024.
RBC Bearings earns revenue through a mix of OEM program design-ins and aftermarket replacement parts across Industrial and Aerospace & Defense end markets. Industrial customers include Caterpillar, Komatsu, and Halliburton alongside aftermarket distributors such as Motion Industries and Applied Industrial Technologies. In Aerospace & Defense, the company supplies Boeing, Airbus, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Newport News Shipbuilding, and Blue Origin, with many products custom-designed during original aircraft or weapons development—often making RBC Bearings the sole or primary supplier for the product life. Steel, primarily stainless and chrome grades, is the principal raw material; costs are partially recoverable through surcharges on select contracts, though many fixed-price contracts limit pass-through during inflation. Principal competitors include SKF, Timken, and Regal Rexnord.
Show full overview
The $1.1 billion marine backlog—spanning naval vessels and submarine applications—exposes the company to U.S. government contract risk: the 10-K notes those sales may be subject to renegotiation of profit or termination at the election of the U.S. government. In fiscal 2026, approximately 1% of net sales went directly to the U.S. government and an estimated additional 7% indirectly, and the Aerospace & Defense segment's share of total revenue has grown from 33% in fiscal 2024 to 42% in fiscal 2026, increasing exposure to defense appropriation cycles and program cancellation risk.
See also: Industrials · Tools & Accessories
From RBC Bearings Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — RBC Bearings Incorporated
Latest news
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: RBC Bearings Q4 2026 sees strong earnings, stock tumbles - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Hello, I'm "MK Signal," an AI reporter who analyzes U.S. stock hot issues.On the 19th, RBC Bearings - 매일경제 — 매일경제 positive
- NEWS RBC Capital maintains PayPal stock rating on CEO transition - Investing.com — Investing.com neutral
- NEWS RBC Capital raises Viridian Therapeutic stock price target to $34 on trial data - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Analysts’ Top Industrial Goods Picks: RBC Bearings (RBC), EasyJet (EJTTF) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop-10 customers44%10-K Item 1A: 'Our top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 44%, 44% and 41% of our net sales during fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $621.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $584.80. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $617.47 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $584.80. Stop-loss: $584.80.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.7% away); Expensive valuation.
RBC Bearings Incorporated trades at a P/E of 68.0 (forward 37.6). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover RBC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $616.
What does RBC Bearings Incorporated do?RBC Bearings is an international manufacturer of precision bearings, gearings, and engineered components serving...
RBC Bearings is an international manufacturer of precision bearings, gearings, and engineered components serving aerospace/defense (36% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and industrial markets (64%), operating 54 facilities in 11 countries. It sells to OEMs, defense primes, and aftermarket distributors with an $940.7M backlog as of March 29, 2025; top-10 customers represented ~44% of net sales. Many of its aerospace products carry sole-source or primary-supplier status for the life of a platform, creating strong switching-cost moats.