RBC Bearings is a precision bearings manufacturer with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a 4-for-4 earnings beat streak averaging 6.0% positive surprise, and a golden cross breakout pattern, but trading above analyst price targets with -1.5% negative upside at a forward P/E of 37.6x limits the near-term entry case.
Thesis pillars
- Industrial Segment Concentration→Stable
- Perfect Piotroski Breakout Alignment↑Improving
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 15, 2026· older than 90 days
RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Tools & Accessories
Sell if holding. At $496.04, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%).
RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and... Read more
Sell if holding. At $496.04, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 92d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
RBC Bearings carried a $2.3 billion order backlog as of March 28, 2026—more than double the $0.9 billion recorded at March 29, 2025—with $1.1 billion attributable to marine-related programs and $0.6 billion to VACCO programs. The Industrial segment contributed 58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026, with Aerospace & Defense accounting for the remaining 42%. The company employed 5,816 people across 44 manufacturing facilities in 11 countries, and the top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35% of net sales during fiscal 2026, down from 44% in fiscal 2024.
RBC Bearings earns revenue through a mix of OEM program design-ins and aftermarket replacement parts across Industrial and Aerospace & Defense end markets. Industrial customers include Caterpillar, Komatsu, and Halliburton alongside aftermarket distributors such as Motion Industries and Applied Industrial Technologies. In Aerospace & Defense, the company supplies Boeing, Airbus, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Newport News Shipbuilding, and Blue Origin, with many products custom-designed during original aircraft or weapons development—often making RBC Bearings the sole or primary supplier for the product life. Steel, primarily stainless and chrome grades, is the principal raw material; costs are partially recoverable through surcharges on select contracts, though many fixed-price contracts limit pass-through during inflation. Principal competitors include SKF, Timken, and Regal Rexnord.
Show full overview
The $1.1 billion marine backlog—spanning naval vessels and submarine applications—exposes the company to U.S. government contract risk: the 10-K notes those sales may be subject to renegotiation of profit or termination at the election of the U.S. government. In fiscal 2026, approximately 1% of net sales went directly to the U.S. government and an estimated additional 7% indirectly, and the Aerospace & Defense segment's share of total revenue has grown from 33% in fiscal 2024 to 42% in fiscal 2026, increasing exposure to defense appropriation cycles and program cancellation risk.
See also: Industrials · Tools & Accessories
From RBC Bearings Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated Oct 29, 2026Recent Developments — RBC Bearings Incorporated
Latest news
- NEWS RBC Bearings (RBC) Prepares to Report Q2 Earnings Amid Modestly Overvalued Stock - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS RBC Bearings (RBC) Lags Amid Yield Headwinds Despite Strong Operating Execution - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 negative
- NEWS RBC 261120 620.00C (RBC261120C620000) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News - Moomoo — Moomoo Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS RBC 261016 520.00P (RBC261016P520000) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News - Moomoo — Moomoo Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Mobileye falls as RBC downgrades stock to Underperform on growth risks - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 21, 2026 negative
Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:50Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Our top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35%, 44% and 44% of our net sales during fiscal 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- HIGHProductIndustrial segment58%10-K Item 1: 'Industrial Market (58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026)'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $496.04, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $461.98. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $538.43 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $461.98. Stop-loss: $461.98.
Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
RBC Bearings Incorporated trades at a P/E of 44.4 (forward 29.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts rate RBC, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $619.
What does RBC Bearings Incorporated do?RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and...
RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and aftermarket distribution; backlog stood at $2.3 billion as of March 28, 2026.