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RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $569.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

RBC Bearings is an international manufacturer of precision bearings, gearings, and engineered components serving aerospace/defense (36% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and industrial markets (64%), operating 54 facilities in 11 countries. It sells to OEMs, defense primes, and... Read more

$569.54+8.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#6 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.42%
Stop $529.14Target $619.36(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$614.00+7.8%7 analysts
$619.36our TP
$569.54price
$614.00mean
$490
$680

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $569.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — RBC Bearings Incorporated

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)62.1
P/E (Fwd)40.3
Mkt Cap$17.9B
EV/EBITDA32.8
Profit Mgn15.4%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta1.47
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV38%normal
Max Pain$260-54.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop-10 customers44%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 44%, 44% and 41% of our net sales during fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
1.9
Forward Pe
2.8
Ps
3.8
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.9
Forward P/E: 40.3xPEG: 1.58
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $545.51Resistance $632.00

Price Targets

$529
$619
A.Upside+8.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.1% upside)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RBC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $569.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $529.14. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $619.36 (+8.9% upside). Prior stop was $529.14. Stop-loss: $529.14.

What are the risks of investing in RBC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Expensive valuation.

Is RBC overvalued or undervalued?

RBC Bearings Incorporated trades at a P/E of 62.1 (forward 40.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RBC?

12 analysts cover RBC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $614.

What does RBC Bearings Incorporated do?RBC Bearings is an international manufacturer of precision bearings, gearings, and engineered components serving...

RBC Bearings is an international manufacturer of precision bearings, gearings, and engineered components serving aerospace/defense (36% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and industrial markets (64%), operating 54 facilities in 11 countries. It sells to OEMs, defense primes, and aftermarket distributors with an $940.7M backlog as of March 29, 2025; top-10 customers represented ~44% of net sales. Many of its aerospace products carry sole-source or primary-supplier status for the life of a platform, creating strong switching-cost moats.

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