Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Tools & Accessories
Sell if holding. At $75.41, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (15.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (62.0%).
Stanley Black & Decker provides hand tools, power tools, outdoor products, and engineered fastening solutions globally with $15.1 billion in 2025 consolidated revenues across Tools & Outdoor ($13.2B, 87%) and Engineered Fastening ($2.0B, 13%) segments. Approximately 62% of 2025... Read more
Sell if holding. At $75.41, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (15.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (62.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
Latest news
- Even If Tariffs Don't Impact Earnings, Stanley Black & Decker Still Not A Buy (Technical Analysis) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
- Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Here's Why Hold Strategy is Apt for Stanley Black Stock Now - qz.com — qz.com neutral
- Mizuho reiterates Stanley Black & Decker stock rating on tariffs - Investing.com — Investing.com neutral
- Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Is Up 12.7% After CEO Transition And Margin Targets Update - Has The Bull Case Changed? - s — simplywall.st positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerThe Home Depot15%10-K Item 1: 'The Home Depot accounted for approximately 15% and 14% of the Company’s consolidated net sales in 2025 and 2024, respectively'
- MEDIUMCustomerLowe's12%10-K Item 1: 'while Lowe’s accounted for approximately 12% and 14% of the Company’s consolidated net sales in 2025 and 2024, respectively'
- HIGHGeographicUnited States62%10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 62% of the Company’s 2025 revenues were generated in the United States'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-27Item 5.02LOWShareholders at 2026 Annual Meeting on April 24, 2026 approved the Amended and Restated 2024 Omnibus Award Plan, adding 7,750,000 shares and extending the plan term. Routine equity compensation plan approval.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $75.41, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (15.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (62.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $71.99. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $78.74 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $71.99. Stop-loss: $71.99.
Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (15.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (62.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.4%.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.8 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover SWK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $91.
What does Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. do?Stanley Black & Decker provides hand tools, power tools, outdoor products, and engineered fastening solutions globally...
Stanley Black & Decker provides hand tools, power tools, outdoor products, and engineered fastening solutions globally with $15.1 billion in 2025 consolidated revenues across Tools & Outdoor ($13.2B, 87%) and Engineered Fastening ($2.0B, 13%) segments. Approximately 62% of 2025 revenues were generated in the United States, with significant exposure to home centers and mass merchants.