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Toro Company (The) (TTC) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. At $88.68, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

The Toro Company designs and manufactures outdoor maintenance and construction equipment for professional (80.3% of FY2025 net sales) and residential (19%) customers globally under Toro, Ditch Witch, eXmark, BOSS, and other brands. Products span turf maintenance, underground... Read more

$88.68+5.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.71%
IncomeYield1.76%(5y avg 1.48%)Payout45.81%sustainable
Stop $85.30Target $93.92(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$110.50+24.6%4 analysts
$93.92our TP
$88.68price
$110.50mean
$120

Sell if holding. At $88.68, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.9%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.6
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$8.6B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE22.9%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.73
Dividend1.76%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02LOW
    The Toro Company 2026 Equity Plan approved by stockholders at the 2026 Annual Meeting on March 17, 2026, replacing the 2022 Plan for future equity incentive award grants. Plan effective March 17, 2026 and expires March 17, 2036.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.2
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 27)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.94Resistance $97.46

Price Targets

$85
$94
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-04 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $88.68, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $85.30. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.92 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $85.30. Stop-loss: $85.30.

What are the risks of investing in TTC?

Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is TTC overvalued or undervalued?

Toro Company (The) trades at a P/E of 26.6 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTC?

10 analysts cover TTC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $111.

What does Toro Company (The) do?The Toro Company designs and manufactures outdoor maintenance and construction equipment for professional (80.3% of...

The Toro Company designs and manufactures outdoor maintenance and construction equipment for professional (80.3% of FY2025 net sales) and residential (19%) customers globally under Toro, Ditch Witch, eXmark, BOSS, and other brands. Products span turf maintenance, underground construction, snow/ice management, and ag-irrigation markets. Net sales outside the U.S. were 19.5% of total FY2025 consolidated net sales.

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