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Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial technology leader, that helps customers across the General Engineering, Transportation, Earthworks, Energy and Aerospace & Defense end markets build their products with... Read more

$35.79+19.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.84%
IncomeYield2.31%(5y avg 2.99%)Payout44.94%sustainable
Stop $33.28Target $42.70(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$38.64+8.0%7 analysts
$42.70our TP
$35.79price
$38.64mean
$34
$48

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Kennametal Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth21.8%
Beta1.44
Dividend2.31%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.33bearish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$30-16.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.91Resistance $43.57

Price Targets

$33
$43
A.Upside+19.3%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.0% upside)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $33.28. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.70 (+19.3% upside). Prior stop was $33.28. Stop-loss: $33.28.

What are the risks of investing in KMT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is KMT overvalued or undervalued?

Kennametal Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KMT?

15 analysts cover KMT with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Kennametal Inc. do?OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial...

OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial technology leader, that helps customers across the General Engineering, Transportation, Earthworks, Energy and Aerospace & Defense end markets build their products with precision and efficiency. The Company was founded based on a tungsten carbide technology breakthrough in 1938 and was incorporated in Pennsylvania in 1943 as a manufacturer of tungsten carbide metal cutting tooling.

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