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LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.Buy Wait5.8·$252.76+0.51%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lincoln Electric is a financially sound industrial franchise — with a 38% return on equity, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and four straight earnings beats — but with the stock now trading above its price target and free cash flow converting at only 33% of stated earnings, the margin of safety for new entry has largely been consumed.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Price Momentum BreakoutImproving
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceImproving
  • High Quality Business FundamentalsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $237.81. At $252.76 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $237.81 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including... Read more

$252.76+2.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.28%
IncomeYield1.26%(5y avg 1.40%)Payout31.79%sustainable
Entry $237.81(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $224.09Target $258.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$297.00+17.5%10 analysts
$258.39our TP
$252.76price
$297.00mean
$229
$340

Wait for pullback to $237.81. At $252.76 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $237.81 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.0
P/E (Fwd)20.9
Mkt Cap$13.8B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE37.8%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta1.21
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.57bearish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $243.73Resistance $268.07

Price Targets

$224
$238
$258
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.2% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LECO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $237.81. At $252.76 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $237.81 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $258.39 (+2.2%), stop $224.09 (−12.8%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LECO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $258.39 (+2.2% upside). Target $258.39 (+2.2%), stop $224.09 (−12.8%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $224.09.

What are the risks of investing in LECO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LECO overvalued or undervalued?

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.0 (forward 20.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LECO?

18 analysts cover LECO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $297.

What does Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. do?The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and...

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including welding, cutting, brazing, machining, process automation, and field repair.

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