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LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.Sell5.5·$262.92+1.74%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lincoln Electric is a financially sound industrial franchise — with a 38% return on equity, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and four straight earnings beats — but with the stock now trading above its price target and free cash flow converting at only 33% of stated earnings, the margin of safety for new entry has largely been consumed.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Price Momentum BreakoutStable
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • High Quality Business FundamentalsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $262.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including... Read more

$262.92+3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.25%
IncomeYield1.22%(5y avg 1.40%)Payout31.79%sustainable
Stop $248.02Target $272.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$296.70+12.8%10 analysts
$272.69our TP
$262.92price
$296.70mean
$229
$340

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $262.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.7
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$14.2B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE37.8%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta1.21
Dividend1.22%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.27bearish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $251.10Resistance $278.25

Price Targets

$248
$273
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LECO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $262.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $248.02. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LECO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $272.69 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $248.02. Stop-loss: $248.02.

What are the risks of investing in LECO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LECO overvalued or undervalued?

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.7 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LECO?

17 analysts cover LECO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $297.

What does Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. do?The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and...

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including welding, cutting, brazing, machining, process automation, and field repair.

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