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LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.Hold5.6·$286.87+0.79%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lincoln Electric is a financially sound industrial franchise — with a 38% return on equity, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and four straight earnings beats — but with the stock now trading above its price target and free cash flow converting at only 33% of stated earnings, the margin of safety for new entry has largely been consumed.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Price Momentum BreakoutImproving
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceImproving
  • High Quality Business FundamentalsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $286.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including... Read more

$286.87-7.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.96%
IncomeYield1.11%(5y avg 1.40%)Payout31.20%sustainable
Stop $267.19Target $329.90(default +15%)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$304.91+6.3%11 analysts
$329.90our TP
$286.87price
$304.91mean
$238
$340

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $286.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16

Recent Developments — Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Aug 11, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: On August 10, 2026, Michael J. Whitehead, Executive Vice President, President of Americas Welding, notified Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") of his decision to resign from the Company, effective August 28, 2026, to pursue other business opportunities outside of the Company. Mr.

Generated 2026-08-16T20:32:10Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.7
P/E (Fwd)22.9
Mkt Cap$15.6B
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE37.7%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta1.22
Dividend1.11%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$410+42.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On August 10, 2026, Michael J. Whitehead, Executive Vice President, President of Americas Welding, notified Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") of his decision to resign from the Company, effective August 28, 2026, to pursue other business opportunities outside of the Company. Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $243.12Resistance $288.41

Price Targets

$267
$330
A.Upside-7.5%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LECO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $286.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $329.90 (+15.0%), stop $267.19 (−7.4%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LECO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $329.90 (-7.5% upside). Target $329.90 (+15.0%), stop $267.19 (−7.4%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $267.19.

What are the risks of investing in LECO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LECO overvalued or undervalued?

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.7 (forward 22.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LECO?

18 analysts cover LECO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $305.

What does Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. do?The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and...

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including welding, cutting, brazing, machining, process automation, and field repair.

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