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LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.Sell5.7·$279.33
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lincoln Electric is a financially sound industrial franchise — with a 38% return on equity, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and four straight earnings beats — but with the stock now trading above its price target and free cash flow converting at only 33% of stated earnings, the margin of safety for new entry has largely been consumed.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Price Momentum Breakout↓Deteriorating
  • Consistent Earnings Outperformance↓Deteriorating
  • High Quality Business Fundamentals→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $279.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including... Read more

$279.33-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.64%
IncomeYield1.25%(5y avg 1.35%)Payout30.30%sustainable
Stop $259.78Analyst target $274.92(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$316.00+13.1%11 analysts with price targets
$279.33price
$316.00mean
$253
$360

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $279.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 11, 202798d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.8
P/E (Fwd)21.8
Mkt Cap$15.1B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth15.1%
Beta1.19
Dividend1.25%
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.55bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$160-42.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On August 10, 2026, Michael J. Whitehead, Executive Vice President, President of Americas Welding, notified Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") of his decision to resign from the Company, effective August 28, 2026, to pursue other business opportunities outside of the Company. Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $250.62Resistance $291.12

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-11 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LECO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $279.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $259.78. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LECO stock price target?

Analyst target $274.92 reached (−1.6% from $279.33); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $259.78. Stop-loss: $259.78.

What are the risks of investing in LECO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is LECO overvalued or undervalued?

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.8 (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LECO?

19 analysts rate LECO, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $316.

What does Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. do?The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and...

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including welding, cutting, brazing, machining, process automation, and field repair.

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