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TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.Hold5.8·$239.70-7.96%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Tower Semiconductor has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with an average 10.9% positive surprise and shows strong revenue and earnings growth scores of 8.2 out of 10, but a forward P/E of 50x with a PEG of 8.26 reflects expensive growth expectations that leave little margin for error.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth Semiconductor Profile
  • Expensive Valuation High PeStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak GrowthDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $239.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Expensive valuation.

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho,... Read more

$239.70+17.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#28 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.49%
Stop $217.03Target $273.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$313.83+30.9%6 analysts
$273.04our TP
$239.70price
$313.83mean
$335

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $239.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)107.5
P/E (Fwd)40.1
Mkt Cap$26.4B
EV/EBITDA46.4
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta0.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.55bearish
IV129%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
1.5
Forward Pe
2.8
Analyst Target
7.5
Forward P/E: 40.1xPEG: 6.72Expensive valuation
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $199.63Resistance $274.00

Price Targets

$217
$273
A.Upside+17.0%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TSEM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $239.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $273.04 (+13.9%), stop $217.03 (−10.4%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TSEM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $273.04 (+17.0% upside). Target $273.04 (+13.9%), stop $217.03 (−10.4%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $217.03.

What are the risks of investing in TSEM?

Expensive valuation.

Is TSEM overvalued or undervalued?

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. trades at a P/E of 107.5 (forward 40.1). TrendMatrix value score: 2.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TSEM?

11 analysts cover TSEM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $314.

What does Tower Semiconductor Ltd. do?Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms...

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho, mixed signal CMOS, RF CMOS, CMOS image sensor, non-imaging sensors, wafers, and integrated power management. It also offers a design enablement platform for a design cycle, as well as transfer optimization and development process services to integrated device manufacturers and fabless companies. The company serves consumer applications, personal computers, communications, handsets and smartphones, automotive, industrial, aerospace, and medical devices. Tower Semiconductor Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Migdal Haemek, Israel

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