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TNCTennant CompanySell4.2·$85.94-2.74%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Tennant Company has exceptional cash conversion at 170% of net income and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, but three consecutive earnings misses, negative asymmetry, and a below-average quality score create a weak investment thesis at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Near Zero Growth ProfileStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tennant Company (TNC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.94 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Tennant Company designs, manufactures, and markets manual and autonomous cleaning equipment, aftermarket parts, and related services for nonresidential surfaces, selling under brands including Tennant, Nobles, and IPC through direct sales in 21 countries and distributors in more... Read more

$85.94+4.6% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#53 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.52%
IncomeYield1.42%(5y avg 1.37%)Payout72.02%
Stop $81.38Target $90.09(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$93.50+8.8%4 analysts
$90.09our TP
$85.94price
$93.50mean
$100

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.94 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Tennant Company

About Tennant Company

Tennant Company operates 11 global manufacturing locations and sells directly in 21 countries while reaching more than 100 additional markets through independent distributors, serving over 40,000 customers who maintain nonresidential surfaces in retail, warehouse, and institutional settings. The company aggregates its operations into one reportable segment across the Americas, Europe/Middle East/Africa, and Asia Pacific, employing 4,484 people worldwide as of December 31, 2025, of whom 40.4% work in the United States.

Tennant earns revenue from selling manual and autonomous cleaning equipment alongside aftermarket parts, consumables, equipment service and repair, and financing, rental, and leasing programs, reaching customers through the industry's largest direct sales and service organization plus a global distributor network. Steel, metal alloys, and resin are the primary raw materials used to manufacture its equipment, with input costs exposed to tariff regimes and global trade policy; the company mitigates this through regional manufacturing and sourcing strategies and diversified supplier relationships rather than a single-source arrangement. Competitively, Tennant faces large multinational manufacturers as well as numerous regional and local participants, differentiating through technology platforms such as its IRIS asset-management system, ec-H2O NanoClean detergent-free cleaning, and an expanding robotic cleaning equipment portfolio.

Show full overview

Tennant's revenue is directly tied to customers' capital-spending cycles: the 10-K states that product sales are sensitive to declines in capital spending, meaning a prolonged economic downturn could force the company into cost-cutting measures to match a lower sales base. Trade-policy volatility compounds this cyclicality — on February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize the tariffs the company absorbed during 2025 under presidential executive order, leaving the financial impact of that ruling, including any refund of tariffs already paid, still undetermined as of the filing date.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Tennant Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak overall score: 4.2/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)52.1
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE5.3%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.11
Dividend1.42%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV47%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-17Item 5.02LOW
    Tennant Company announced the appointment of Richard H. (Rusty) Zay, currently SVP and Chief Commercial Officer, to the newly effective position of Chief Operating Officer, effective July 1, 2026, with $400,000 in incremental equity awards granted for the promotion.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
5.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 142.0%
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.90Resistance $91.93

Price Targets

$81
$90
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TNC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.94 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $81.38. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TNC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $90.09 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $81.38. Stop-loss: $81.38.

What are the risks of investing in TNC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.2/10.

Is TNC overvalued or undervalued?

Tennant Company trades at a P/E of 52.1 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TNC?

7 analysts cover TNC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $94.

What does Tennant Company do?Tennant Company designs, manufactures, and markets manual and autonomous cleaning equipment, aftermarket parts, and...

Tennant Company designs, manufactures, and markets manual and autonomous cleaning equipment, aftermarket parts, and related services for nonresidential surfaces, selling under brands including Tennant, Nobles, and IPC through direct sales in 21 countries and distributors in more than 100 countries. The company serves more than 40,000 customers worldwide across one reportable segment spanning the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific, with no material customer concentration.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.)
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