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TNCTennant CompanySell5.5·$72.84
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Tennant Company has exceptional cash conversion at 170% of net income and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, but three consecutive earnings misses, negative asymmetry, and a below-average quality score create a weak investment thesis at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Conversion↓Deteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • Near Zero Growth Profile↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tennant Company (TNC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.84 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).

Tennant Company designs, manufactures, and markets manual and autonomous cleaning equipment, aftermarket parts, and related services for nonresidential surfaces, selling under brands including Tennant, Nobles, and IPC through direct sales in 21 countries and distributors in more... Read more

$72.84+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#32 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.03%
IncomeYield1.78%(5y avg 1.37%)Payout91.18%at-risk
Stop $68.36Analyst target $74.59(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$87.75+20.5%4 analysts with price targets
$74.59Analyst target
$72.84price
$87.75mean
$93

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.84 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 109d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Tennant Company

About Tennant Company

Tennant Company operates 11 global manufacturing locations and sells directly in 21 countries while reaching more than 100 additional markets through independent distributors, serving over 40,000 customers who maintain nonresidential surfaces in retail, warehouse, and institutional settings. The company aggregates its operations into one reportable segment across the Americas, Europe/Middle East/Africa, and Asia Pacific, employing 4,484 people worldwide as of December 31, 2025, of whom 40.4% work in the United States.

Tennant earns revenue from selling manual and autonomous cleaning equipment alongside aftermarket parts, consumables, equipment service and repair, and financing, rental, and leasing programs, reaching customers through the industry's largest direct sales and service organization plus a global distributor network. Steel, metal alloys, and resin are the primary raw materials used to manufacture its equipment, with input costs exposed to tariff regimes and global trade policy; the company mitigates this through regional manufacturing and sourcing strategies and diversified supplier relationships rather than a single-source arrangement. Competitively, Tennant faces large multinational manufacturers as well as numerous regional and local participants, differentiating through technology platforms such as its IRIS asset-management system, ec-H2O NanoClean detergent-free cleaning, and an expanding robotic cleaning equipment portfolio.

Show full overview

Tennant's revenue is directly tied to customers' capital-spending cycles: the 10-K states that product sales are sensitive to declines in capital spending, meaning a prolonged economic downturn could force the company into cost-cutting measures to match a lower sales base. Trade-policy volatility compounds this cyclicality — on February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize the tariffs the company absorbed during 2025 under presidential executive order, leaving the financial impact of that ruling, including any refund of tariffs already paid, still undetermined as of the filing date.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Tennant Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — Tennant Company

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 22, 2027109d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)53.6
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE3.8%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta1.14
Dividend1.78%
Analysts with ratings7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.25bearish
IV50%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-17Item 5.02LOW
    Tennant Company announced the appointment of Richard H. (Rusty) Zay, currently SVP and Chief Commercial Officer, to the newly effective position of Chief Operating Officer, effective July 1, 2026, with $400,000 in incremental equity awards granted for the promotion.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.2
Growth Rank
3.1
Value Rank
5.3

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
2.0
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.9
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 109d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $64.48Resistance $74.87

Price Targets

$68
$75
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.4% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-22 (109d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TNC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.84 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Prior stop was $68.36. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TNC stock price target?

Analyst target: $74.59 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $68.36. Stop-loss: $68.36.

What are the risks of investing in TNC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is TNC overvalued or undervalued?

Tennant Company trades at a P/E of 53.6 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TNC?

7 analysts rate TNC, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $88.

What does Tennant Company do?Tennant Company designs, manufactures, and markets manual and autonomous cleaning equipment, aftermarket parts, and...

Tennant Company designs, manufactures, and markets manual and autonomous cleaning equipment, aftermarket parts, and related services for nonresidential surfaces, selling under brands including Tennant, Nobles, and IPC through direct sales in 21 countries and distributors in more than 100 countries. The company serves more than 40,000 customers worldwide across one reportable segment spanning the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific, with no material customer concentration.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · XE (X-Energy, Inc.) · INIO (INNIO N.V.) · FELE (Franklin Electric Co., Inc.)
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