Timken Company has delivered a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with average surprise of 7.65%, a golden cross breakout with RSI at 70, and a Piotroski score of 9 out of 9, but with the stock trading 14.6% above the analyst target and asymmetry firmly negative, new entry here carries poor risk-reward.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Beat Streak Rising Estimates→Stable
- Golden Cross Breakout Momentum→Stable
- Exceptional Financial Strength→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Timken Company (The) (TKR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Tools & Accessories
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $139.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away).
Timken designs and manages a portfolio of engineered bearings and industrial motion products, and provides related services. The Company's growing portfolio features many strong brands, including Timken®, GGB®, Philadelphia Gear®, Cone Drive®, CGI®, Rollon®, Nadella®, Rosa... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $139.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Timken Company (The)
Latest news
- NEWS Here's Why Timken (TKR) is a Strong Value Stock - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Here's why Timken (TKR) is a strong value stock - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Keybank National Association OH Purchases 129,458 Shares of Timken Company (The) $TKR - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Is The Timken Company (NYSE:TKR) Potentially Undervalued? - Moomoo — Moomoo positive
- NEWS Timken (TKR) Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-08Item 5.02MEDIUMNOMINEES | | FOR | | WITHHOLD | | BROKER NON-VOTES | | | | | | Lucian Boldea | | 59,598,638 | | 948,854 | | 3,182,667 Maria A. Crowe | | 58,028,580 | | 2,518,912 | | 3,182,667 Elizabeth A. Harrell | | 58,197,705 | | 2,349,787 | | 3,182,667 Richard G. Kyle | [... truncated]SEC filing →
- 2026-04-21Item 5.02MEDIUMOn April 16, 2026, Andreas Roellgen ceased serving as Executive Vice President and President of Engineered Bearings of The Timken Company (the "Company") effective as of the close of business that day. As an employee who is domiciled in Europe, Mr.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $139.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $143.44 (+3.1%), stop $129.74 (−7.3%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $143.44 (+3.1% upside). Target $143.44 (+3.1%), stop $129.74 (−7.3%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Stop-loss: $129.74.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away); Negative momentum.
Timken Company (The) trades at a P/E of 31.6 (forward 19.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
16 analysts cover TKR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $137.
What does Timken Company (The) do?Timken designs and manages a portfolio of engineered bearings and industrial motion products, and provides related...
Timken designs and manages a portfolio of engineered bearings and industrial motion products, and provides related services. The Company's growing portfolio features many strong brands, including Timken®, GGB®, Philadelphia Gear®, Cone Drive®, CGI®, Rollon®, Nadella®, Rosa Sistemi®, Diamond®, Drives®, Groeneveld®, BEKA®, Des-Case®, Lovejoy®, PT Tech®, Torsion Control Products® and Lagersmit®.