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TKRTimken Company (The)Hold4.8·$133.50+1.68%
HoldModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak Rising EstimatesDeteriorating
  • Golden Cross Breakout MomentumImproving
  • Exceptional Financial StrengthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Timken Company (The) (TKR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $133.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Timken designs and manages a portfolio of engineered bearings and industrial motion products, and provides related services. The Company's growing portfolio features many strong brands, including Timken®, GGB®, Philadelphia Gear®, Cone Drive®, CGI®, Rollon®, Nadella®, Rosa... Read more

$133.50-4.1% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#8 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.82%
IncomeYield1.08%(5y avg 1.69%)Payout38.21%sustainable
Stop $124.16Target $140.32(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$147.20+10.3%11 analysts
$140.32our TP
$133.50price
$147.20mean
$129
$160

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $133.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16

Recent Developments — Timken Company (The)

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jul 31, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: On July 29, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The Timken Company (the "Company") appointed Stephen P. Ribaudo to the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of the Company effective as of September 1, 2026. Mr.

Generated 2026-08-16T15:42:44Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.3
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn5.4%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta1.23
Dividend1.08%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$200+49.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On July 29, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The Timken Company (the "Company") appointed Stephen P. Ribaudo to the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of the Company effective as of September 1, 2026. Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.4
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $126.17Resistance $143.18

Price Targets

$124
$140
A.Upside-4.1%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TKR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $133.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $140.32 (+5.1%), stop $124.16 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $140.32 (-4.1% upside). Target $140.32 (+5.1%), stop $124.16 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $124.16.

What are the risks of investing in TKR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Is TKR overvalued or undervalued?

Timken Company (The) trades at a P/E of 36.3 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TKR?

17 analysts cover TKR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $147.

What does Timken Company (The) do?Timken designs and manages a portfolio of engineered bearings and industrial motion products, and provides related...

Timken designs and manages a portfolio of engineered bearings and industrial motion products, and provides related services. The Company's growing portfolio features many strong brands, including Timken®, GGB®, Philadelphia Gear®, Cone Drive®, CGI®, Rollon®, Nadella®, Rosa Sistemi®, Diamond®, Drives®, Groeneveld®, BEKA®, Des-Case®, Lovejoy®, PT Tech®, Torsion Control Products® and Lagersmit®.

Related stocks: KMT (Kennametal Inc.) · RBC (RBC Bearings Incorporated) · HLMN (Hillman Solutions Corp.) · LECO (Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.) · TTC (Toro Company (The))
Home Stocks TKR

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