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TGTXTG Therapeutics, Inc.Sell6.1·$53.35-0.32%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TG Therapeutics has built an elite business quality profile with 113% return on equity, 66% gross margins, and 70% revenue growth, but a complete 4-of-4 quarter earnings miss streak averaging -39.9% below consensus and 27% short interest create a fundamental tension between the operational quality of BRIUMVI and the company's ability to convert revenue into reported earnings.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Quality And Growth MetricsStable
  • Briumvi Single Product ConcentrationStable
  • Perfect Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TG Therapeutics, Inc. (TGTX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. At $53.35, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers.

TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotech focused on B-cell diseases, with BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy) as its sole FDA-approved product, launched in the U.S. for relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis in January 2023. Revenue comes from U.S. net product sales and ex-U.S.... Read more

$53.35+5.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#24 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.37%
Stop $49.58Target $56.23(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$51.71-3.1%7 analysts
$56.23our TP
$53.35price
$51.71mean
$17
$83

Sell if holding. At $53.35, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About TG Therapeutics, Inc.

About TG Therapeutics, Inc.

BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy), TG Therapeutics' sole FDA-approved product, received clearance in December 2022 for adults with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis (RMS), including clinically isolated syndrome, relapsing-remitting disease, and active secondary progressive disease. The company commercially launched BRIUMVI in the U.S. in January 2023 and expanded internationally through an August 2023 commercialization agreement with Neuraxpharm Pharmaceuticals, S.L. for ex-U.S. territories, with Neuraxpharm first launching BRIUMVI in Germany in February 2024. Patent protection for BRIUMVI was extended through 2042 via three USPTO patents issued in February 2024.

BRIUMVI is an anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody administered via one-hour infusion every 24 weeks. TG Therapeutics generates U.S. net product revenue from infusion-based prescriptions in the RMS market, competing against other branded anti-CD20 therapies. Ex-U.S. revenues flow through the Neuraxpharm commercialization agreement as tiered double-digit royalties on net product sales up to 30 percent plus milestone payments, with the total deal valued at up to $645 million in upfront and milestone payments. The company contracts with third parties for all commercial and clinical manufacturing — the 10-K discloses that the third parties relied upon for supply of starting materials, intermediates, active pharmaceutical ingredient (API)/drug substance, drug product, and other materials are the company's sole source of supply. Pipeline assets include subcutaneous ublituximab in a Phase 3 program that was more than approximately 75 percent enrolled in February 2026, and azer-cel (an allogeneic CD19-directed CAR T cell therapy) in a Phase 1 trial for progressive MS initiated in August 2025.

Show full overview

Manufacturing dependency exposes TG Therapeutics to meaningful supply-chain concentration. The company holds no internal manufacturing capacity; commercial BRIUMVI supply depends entirely on third-party contract manufacturers and API suppliers, each of which is the sole source for its respective materials. A disruption at any sole-source supplier could directly interrupt commercial supply, and the 10-K characterizes the loss of any such supplier as capable of significantly harming the business. The myasthenia gravis and subcutaneous ublituximab programs, if approved, would share the same sole-source supply infrastructure.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From TG Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.6
P/E (Fwd)18.6
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA52.1
Profit Mgn66.0%
ROE112.6%
Rev Growth69.6%
Beta1.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C3.27bearish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRIUMVI
    10-K Item 1: 'TG Therapeutics has received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy)'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source CMO/API suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'The third parties upon whom we rely for the supply of starting materials, intermediates, active pharmaceutical ingredient (API)/drug substance ... are our sole source of supply'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.04Resistance $57.38

Price Targets

$50
$56
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.6% upside)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TGTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $53.35, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $49.58. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TGTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.23 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $49.58. Stop-loss: $49.58.

What are the risks of investing in TGTX?

Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TGTX overvalued or undervalued?

TG Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TGTX?

15 analysts cover TGTX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $52.

What does TG Therapeutics, Inc. do?TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotech focused on B-cell diseases, with BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy) as its sole...

TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotech focused on B-cell diseases, with BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy) as its sole FDA-approved product, launched in the U.S. for relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis in January 2023. Revenue comes from U.S. net product sales and ex-U.S. royalties and milestones under a 2023 commercialization agreement with Neuraxpharm valued at up to $645 million.

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