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Ascendis Pharma A/S (ASND) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $237.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Ascendis Pharma A/S, operates as a biopharmaceutical company that focuses on developing TransCon-based therapies for unmet medical needs in Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company offers SKYTROFA for treating pediatric patients with growth hormone deficiency;... Read more

$237.98+11.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#20 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield0.81%
Stop $221.32Target $264.76(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$294.18+23.6%15 analysts
$264.76our TP
$237.98price
$294.18mean
$343

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $237.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Ascendis Pharma A/S

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Positive news sentiment (+0.83)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.0
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$14.7B
EV/EBITDA-1475.4
Profit Mgn57.3%
ROE332.7%
Rev Growth144.3%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.15bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $216.22Resistance $250.27

Price Targets

$221
$265
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASND stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $237.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $264.76 (+11.3%), stop $221.32 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASND stock price target?

Take-profit target: $264.76 (+11.3% upside). Target $264.76 (+11.3%), stop $221.32 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $221.32.

What are the risks of investing in ASND?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is ASND overvalued or undervalued?

Ascendis Pharma A/S trades at a P/E of 27.0 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ASND?

24 analysts cover ASND with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $294.

What does Ascendis Pharma A/S do?Ascendis Pharma A/S, operates as a biopharmaceutical company that focuses on developing TransCon-based therapies for...

Ascendis Pharma A/S, operates as a biopharmaceutical company that focuses on developing TransCon-based therapies for unmet medical needs in Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company offers SKYTROFA for treating pediatric patients with growth hormone deficiency; and YORVIPATH, a once-daily subcutaneous injection for the treatment of adults with chronic hypoparathyroidism. It is also developing a pipeline of three independent endocrinology rare disease product candidates in clinical development, as well as focuses on advancing oncology therapeutic candidates. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Hellerup, Denmark.

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