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TG Therapeutics, Inc. (TGTX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $34.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source of supply.

TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotech focused on B-cell diseases, with BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy) as its FDA-approved treatment for relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis, launched in the U.S. in January 2023 and in Europe via Neuraxpharm. Revenue derives from U.S. net... Read more

$34.20+13.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#40 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $32.06Target $38.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$44.57+30.3%7 analysts
$38.78our TP
$34.20price
$44.57mean
$15
$60

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $34.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source of supply. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source of supply
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.1
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA41.1
Profit Mgn72.6%
ROE102.8%
Rev Growth78.0%
Beta1.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$15-56.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRIUMVI
    10-K Item 1A: 'We contract with third parties for the manufacture and testing of BRIUMVI for commercial supply, as well as all of our clinical product supply'
  • HIGHSuppliersole source of supply
    10-K Item 1A: 'The third parties upon whom we rely for the supply of starting materials, intermediates, active pharmaceutical ingredient (API)/drug substance, drug product, and other materials used in our drug candidates are our sole source of supply'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 4 days
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dA.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.05Resistance $38.38

Price Targets

$32
$39
A.Upside+13.4%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TGTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $34.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source of supply. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $32.06. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TGTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.78 (+13.4% upside). Prior stop was $32.06. Stop-loss: $32.06.

What are the risks of investing in TGTX?

Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source of supply; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is TGTX overvalued or undervalued?

TG Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TGTX?

15 analysts cover TGTX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $45.

What does TG Therapeutics, Inc. do?TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotech focused on B-cell diseases, with BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy) as its...

TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotech focused on B-cell diseases, with BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy) as its FDA-approved treatment for relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis, launched in the U.S. in January 2023 and in Europe via Neuraxpharm. Revenue derives from U.S. net product sales of BRIUMVI and milestone payments/royalties from ex-U.S. commercialization.

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