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TGTXTG Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.7·$57.28
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TG Therapeutics has built an elite business quality profile with 113% return on equity, 66% gross margins, and 70% revenue growth, but a complete 4-of-4 quarter earnings miss streak averaging -39.9% below consensus and 27% short interest create a fundamental tension between the operational quality of BRIUMVI and the company's ability to convert revenue into reported earnings.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Quality And Growth Metrics→Stable
  • Briumvi Single Product Concentration↑Improving
  • Perfect Earnings Miss Streak→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TG Therapeutics, Inc. (TGTX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. At $57.28, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers.

TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotech focused on B-cell diseases, with BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy) as its sole FDA-approved product, launched in the U.S. for relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis in January 2023. Revenue comes from U.S. net product sales and ex-U.S.... Read more

$57.28+5.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#49 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.67%
Stop $53.27Target $60.65(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$69.71+21.7%7 analysts
$60.65our TP
$57.28price
$69.71mean
$21
$86

Sell if holding. At $57.28, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About TG Therapeutics, Inc.

About TG Therapeutics, Inc.

BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy), TG Therapeutics' sole FDA-approved product, received clearance in December 2022 for adults with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis (RMS), including clinically isolated syndrome, relapsing-remitting disease, and active secondary progressive disease. The company commercially launched BRIUMVI in the U.S. in January 2023 and expanded internationally through an August 2023 commercialization agreement with Neuraxpharm Pharmaceuticals, S.L. for ex-U.S. territories, with Neuraxpharm first launching BRIUMVI in Germany in February 2024. Patent protection for BRIUMVI was extended through 2042 via three USPTO patents issued in February 2024.

BRIUMVI is an anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody administered via one-hour infusion every 24 weeks. TG Therapeutics generates U.S. net product revenue from infusion-based prescriptions in the RMS market, competing against other branded anti-CD20 therapies. Ex-U.S. revenues flow through the Neuraxpharm commercialization agreement as tiered double-digit royalties on net product sales up to 30 percent plus milestone payments, with the total deal valued at up to $645 million in upfront and milestone payments. The company contracts with third parties for all commercial and clinical manufacturing — the 10-K discloses that the third parties relied upon for supply of starting materials, intermediates, active pharmaceutical ingredient (API)/drug substance, drug product, and other materials are the company's sole source of supply. Pipeline assets include subcutaneous ublituximab in a Phase 3 program that was more than approximately 75 percent enrolled in February 2026, and azer-cel (an allogeneic CD19-directed CAR T cell therapy) in a Phase 1 trial for progressive MS initiated in August 2025.

Show full overview

Manufacturing dependency exposes TG Therapeutics to meaningful supply-chain concentration. The company holds no internal manufacturing capacity; commercial BRIUMVI supply depends entirely on third-party contract manufacturers and API suppliers, each of which is the sole source for its respective materials. A disruption at any sole-source supplier could directly interrupt commercial supply, and the 10-K characterizes the loss of any such supplier as capable of significantly harming the business. The myasthenia gravis and subcutaneous ublituximab programs, if approved, would share the same sole-source supply infrastructure.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From TG Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers
Thin upside margin: 5.9%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$8.8B
EV/EBITDA61.3
Profit Mgn55.2%
ROE100.3%
Rev Growth70.3%
Beta1.66
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRIUMVI
    10-K Item 1: 'TG Therapeutics has received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy)'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source CMO/API suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'The third parties upon whom we rely for the supply of starting materials, intermediates, active pharmaceutical ingredient (API)/drug substance ... are our sole source of supply'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Speculative
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.11Resistance $58.92

Price Targets

$53
$61
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TGTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $57.28, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $53.27. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TGTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.65 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $53.27. Stop-loss: $53.27.

What are the risks of investing in TGTX?

Concentration risk — Product: BRIUMVI; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source CMO/API suppliers; Thin upside margin: 5.9%.

Is TGTX overvalued or undervalued?

TG Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TGTX?

14 analysts cover TGTX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does TG Therapeutics, Inc. do?TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotech focused on B-cell diseases, with BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy) as its sole...

TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotech focused on B-cell diseases, with BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy) as its sole FDA-approved product, launched in the U.S. for relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis in January 2023. Revenue comes from U.S. net product sales and ex-U.S. royalties and milestones under a 2023 commercialization agreement with Neuraxpharm valued at up to $645 million.

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