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TDCTeradata CorporationBuy Wait5.8·$27.68+0.18%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Teradata has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters with an average positive surprise of 184%, earns exceptional return on equity of 118% with 25% net margins and a Piotroski financial health score of 7 out of 9 — but 19% short interest, a high put-to-call ratio of 2.50, and a stock price already above the analyst target limit near-term entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Return On EquityImproving
  • Massive Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • High Short Interest Squeeze RiskDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Teradata Corporation (TDC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Wait for pullback to $26.49. At $27.68 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $26.49 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components; Thin upside margin: 6.9%.

Teradata Corporation provides an enterprise AI and analytics platform supporting cloud, on-premises, and hybrid environments across two segments: Product Sales and Consulting Services. The company generated $1.663 billion in total revenues for calendar year 2025, with the... Read more

$27.68+6.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#51 of 103 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield13.56%
Entry $26.49(support + ATR (held))Stop $22.84Target $29.58(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$34.00+22.8%8 analysts
$29.58our TP
$27.68price
$34.00mean
$49

Wait for pullback to $26.49. At $27.68 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $26.49 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components; Thin upside margin: 6.9%. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.9 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=technology 8/10). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Teradata Corporation

About Teradata Corporation

Teradata Corporation reported total revenues of $1.663 billion for calendar year 2025 across two operating segments — Product Sales and Consulting Services — with subscription-based contracts representing the majority of revenue. The company operates from headquarters in San Diego, California, employing approximately 5,100 people globally (roughly 30% in the United States and 70% across the rest of the world), and delivered more than 150 AI engagements at customer accounts in 2025. No single customer represents 10% or more of total revenue.

Teradata generates revenue through flexibly priced subscription offerings — ranging from capacity-based to consumption-based — sold directly through a sales force in which more than 80% of employees are in customer-facing or revenue-driving roles. The platform spans public cloud deployments on AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud, as well as private cloud and on-premises configurations. Customers are concentrated in Financial Services, Healthcare and Life Sciences, Public Sector, Manufacturing, Retail, Telecommunications, and Travel/Transportation verticals. Hardware for on-premises offerings is assembled by Flex Ltd., with key components sourced from Dell Technologies (servers), NetApp (storage disk systems), and NVIDIA (GPUs); certain components are purchased from single sources. Teradata competes against AWS, Databricks, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, and Snowflake in the data management and analytics market.

Show full overview

Teradata's supply chain for on-premises hardware depends on Flex Ltd. as key contract manufacturer; a disruption at Flex or at a sole-source component supplier, or a global shortage of semiconductors or GPUs, could impact the timing or profitability of customer shipments. The 10-K notes that demand for GPUs and other AI-adjacent components may exceed supply, and that tariff or inflationary pressures could compress margins. Historically, the company has offset such pressures through price adjustments and alternative sourcing, but these measures may not fully mitigate future cost increases.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Teradata Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components
Thin upside margin: 6.9%
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.6
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn27.1%
ROE119.1%
Rev Growth0.5%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C2.57bearish
IV61%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierFlex
    10-K Item 1A: 'we rely on Flex as a key contract manufacturer for certain on-premises hardware offerings'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source components
    10-K Item 1A: 'There are some components of our solutions that we purchase from single sources due to price, quality, technology or other reasons.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Teradata stockholders approved the Teradata 2023 Stock Incentive Plan as Amended and Restated on May 14, 2026, adding 6,300,000 shares. No officer departure; compensatory arrangement amendment only.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
1.1
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Technology 8/10Range BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.54Resistance $34.94

Price Targets

$23
$26
$30
A.Upside+6.9%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.4%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 3.9 < 4.5 minimum
! R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TDC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $26.49. At $27.68 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $26.49 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components; Thin upside margin: 6.9%. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.9 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $29.58 (+6.9%), stop $22.84 (−21.2%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TDC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.58 (+6.9% upside). Target $29.58 (+6.9%), stop $22.84 (−21.2%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $22.84.

What are the risks of investing in TDC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components; Thin upside margin: 6.9%; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is TDC overvalued or undervalued?

Teradata Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.6 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TDC?

14 analysts cover TDC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Teradata Corporation do?Teradata Corporation provides an enterprise AI and analytics platform supporting cloud, on-premises, and hybrid...

Teradata Corporation provides an enterprise AI and analytics platform supporting cloud, on-premises, and hybrid environments across two segments: Product Sales and Consulting Services. The company generated $1.663 billion in total revenues for calendar year 2025, with the majority from subscription-based contracts. Teradata had approximately 5,100 employees globally at December 31, 2025, with hardware assembly outsourced to Flex Ltd.

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