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SUSuncor Energy Inc.Hold6.3·$55.05+2.76%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Suncor Energy has a wide economic moat, a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and a forward P/E of 11.2x with a PEG of 0.38, offering an attractively priced integrated energy position, though momentum is weak and the stock has already exceeded analyst price targets.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Integrated Energy QualityStable
  • Dividend Yield Sustainability RiskStable
  • Attractive Valuation Low PegStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Oil Sands; Exploration and Production; and Refining and Marketing segments. The Oil Sands segment produces bitumen; and markets, supplies,... Read more

$55.05+17.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.27%
IncomeYield3.06%(5y avg 3.90%)Payout44.49%sustainable
Stop $51.93Target $64.44(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$62.74+14.0%3 analysts
$64.44our TP
$55.05price
$62.74mean
$50
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$65.0B
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE14.0%
Rev Growth17.5%
Beta0.57
Dividend3.06%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.3
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.5
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 22)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
22 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $53.29Resistance $65.76

Price Targets

$52
$64
A.Upside+17.1%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $64.44 (+17.1%), stop $51.93 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.44 (+17.1% upside). Target $64.44 (+17.1%), stop $51.93 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $51.93.

What are the risks of investing in SU?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is SU overvalued or undervalued?

Suncor Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SU?

28 analysts cover SU with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Suncor Energy Inc. do?Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The...

Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Oil Sands; Exploration and Production; and Refining and Marketing segments. The Oil Sands segment produces bitumen; and markets, supplies, and transports and manages crude oil, power, and byproducts. The Exploration and Production segment is involved in the offshore operations on the east coast of Canada, and onshore assets in Libya and Syria; and marketing and risk management of crude oil. The Refining and Marketing segment refines and supplies crude oil and intermediate feedstock into a range of petroleum and petrochemical products, as well as sells refined petroleum products to retail customers. This segment is also involved in the trading of crude oil and refined products, natural gas, and power. The company was formerly known as Suncor Inc. and changed its name to Suncor Energy Inc. in April 1997. Suncor Energy Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Related stocks: YPF (YPF Sociedad Anonima) · TTE (TotalEnergies SE) · NFG (National Fuel Gas Company) · CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) · PBR-A (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob)
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