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Shell PLC (SHEL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $88.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and other parts of the Americas. It operates through the following segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, and Renewables and Energy... Read more

$88.30+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#11 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.34%
IncomeYield3.53%(5y avg 3.58%)Payout45.05%sustainable
Stop $85.23Target $89.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$100.34+13.6%14 analysts
$89.09our TP
$88.30price
$100.34mean
$78
$122

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $88.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Shell PLC

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$246.6B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth0.7%
Beta-0.24
Dividend3.53%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Macd
2.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
7.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.82Resistance $90.91

Price Targets

$85
$89
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.5% upside)
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHEL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $88.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $89.09 (+0.9%), stop $85.23 (−3.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.09 (+0.6% upside). Target $89.09 (+0.9%), stop $85.23 (−3.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $85.23.

What are the risks of investing in SHEL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Negative momentum.

Is SHEL overvalued or undervalued?

Shell PLC trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SHEL?

26 analysts cover SHEL with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $100.

What does Shell PLC do?Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and...

Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and other parts of the Americas. It operates through the following segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, and Renewables and Energy Solutions. The company explores for and extracts natural gas to produce liquefied natural gas or convert it into gas-to-liquids (GTL) fuels and other products; explores for and extracts crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids; and operates marketing and transportation of oil, gas, and liquids, supported by the infrastructure required to deliver them to market or to process them within Shell's chemical manufacturing plants and refineries. It is also involved in marketing, which includes mobility, lubricants, and sectors focused on decarbonization; operates a retail network, including electric vehicle charging, convenience retail, and the wholesale commercial fuels business for transport and industry; sells products for road transport and machinery in manufacturing, mining, power generation, agriculture, and construction; and provides low-carbon energy solutions, such as biofuels, to a broad range of commercial customers, including those in the aviation, marine, and agriculture sectors. In addition, the company offers chemicals and products, including chemicals manufacturing plants with their own marketing network, and refineries that turn crude oil and other feedstocks into a range of oil products, which are moved and marketed around the world for domestic, industrial, and transport use; and operates a pipeline business, trading, and optimization of crude oil, oil products, and petrochemicals. The company was formerly known as Royal Dutch Shell plc and changed its name to Shell plc in January 2022. Shell plc was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

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