Petrobras offers extreme deep value at a forward P/E of 4.2x with 26% return on equity and an oversold RSI of 21, while analysts project 32% upside — but three consecutive earnings misses and a put/call ratio of 2.65 signal that the market has significant near-term concerns about earnings quality and geopolitical risk.
Thesis pillars
- Roe Peer Advantage↑Improving
- Oversold Rsi Technical Inflection↓Deteriorating
- Extreme Deep Value Forward Pe→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob (PBR) Stock Analysis
Temporary headwind edge
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing;... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: conservative.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob
Latest news
- NEWS Petrobras (PBR) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 negative
- NEWS PBR Stock Slides After Brazil Election: Is It a Buying Opportunity? - TradingView — TradingView Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS PBR Stock Slides After Brazil Election: Is It a Buying Opportunity? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR) Shares Fall 14.0% -- GF V - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 26, 2026 negative
- NEWS Why Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras ADR Crashed Today - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool Oct 26, 2026 negative
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:29:29Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.08 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.97. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $20.79 reached (−1.4% from $21.08); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $19.97. Stop-loss: $19.97.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob trades at a P/E of 5.3 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts rate PBR, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $24.
What does Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob do?Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the...
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. It also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.