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Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob (PBR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing;... Read more

$20.72+5.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#12 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield62.17%
IncomeYield8.46%(5y avg 22.85%)Payout41.58%sustainable
Stop $19.40Target $21.80(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$22.13+6.8%14 analysts
$21.80our TP
$20.72price
$22.13mean
$13
$29

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.4
P/E (Fwd)5.5
Mkt Cap$133.4B
EV/EBITDA2.9
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE25.6%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta-0.06
Dividend8.46%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.76bearish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.6
Revenue Growth
2.6
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.50Resistance $22.24

Price Targets

$19
$22
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $21.80 (+5.2%), stop $19.40 (−6.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.80 (+5.3% upside). Target $21.80 (+5.2%), stop $19.40 (−6.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $19.40.

What are the risks of investing in PBR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.

Is PBR overvalued or undervalued?

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob trades at a P/E of 6.4 (forward 5.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PBR?

19 analysts cover PBR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob do?Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the...

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. It also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

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