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PBR-APetroleo Brasileiro S.A. PetrobBuy Wait5.7·$15.06-2.40%
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Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob (PBR-A) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Wait for pullback to $14.79. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.06. Engine's entry $14.79 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing;... Read more

$15.06+31.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#8 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield78.50%
IncomeYield11.39%(5y avg 25.02%)Payout41.58%sustainable
Entry $14.79(1 ATR pullback)Stop $14.09Target $19.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.7:1Setup A.R:R 6.8:1
Analyst target$22.40+48.7%10 analysts
$19.49our TP
$15.06price
$22.40mean
$25

Wait for pullback to $14.79. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.06. Engine's entry $14.79 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.5 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=energy 2/10). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 68%
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.8
P/E (Fwd)6.3
Mkt Cap$105.6B
EV/EBITDA2.1
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE25.6%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta-0.16
Dividend11.39%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
Max Pain$35+132.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.6
Revenue Growth
2.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Macd
2.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 21)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 5.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Energy 2/10Suitability: Moderate
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.04Resistance $18.29

Price Targets

$14
$15
$19
A.Upside+29.4%
A.R:R5.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)6.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %2.9%
Max %5.9%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 3.5 < 4.5 minimum
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBR-A stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $14.79. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.06. Engine's entry $14.79 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.5 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $19.49 (+29.4%), stop $14.09 (−6.9%), Setup A.R:R 6.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBR-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.49 (+31.8% upside). Target $19.49 (+29.4%), stop $14.09 (−6.9%), Setup A.R:R 6.8:1. Stop-loss: $14.09.

What are the risks of investing in PBR-A?

Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is PBR-A overvalued or undervalued?

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob trades at a P/E of 4.8 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PBR-A?

18 analysts cover PBR-A with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob do?Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the...

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. It also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

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