Skip to main content

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob (PBR-A) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Wait for pullback to $17.20. At $18.37 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $17.20 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth.

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing;... Read more

$18.37+8.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield66.23%
IncomeYield9.57%(5y avg 24.92%)Payout41.58%sustainable
Entry $17.20(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $16.19Target $19.57(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$22.50+22.5%10 analysts
$19.57our TP
$18.37price
$22.50mean
$17
$25

Wait for pullback to $17.20. At $18.37 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $17.20 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.9 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.7%
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.7
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$125.2B
EV/EBITDA2.8
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE25.6%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta-0.06
Dividend9.57%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.6
Revenue Growth
2.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.74Resistance $20.05

Price Targets

$16
$17
$20
A.Upside+6.5%
A.R:R1.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %1.2%
Max %2.4%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 2.9 < 4.5 minimum
! R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBR-A stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $17.20. At $18.37 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $17.20 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.9 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $19.57 (+6.5%), stop $16.19 (−13.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBR-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.57 (+8.8% upside). Target $19.57 (+6.5%), stop $16.19 (−13.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $16.19.

What are the risks of investing in PBR-A?

Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is PBR-A overvalued or undervalued?

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob trades at a P/E of 5.7 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PBR-A?

19 analysts cover PBR-A with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob do?Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the...

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. It also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

Related stocks: YPF (YPF Sociedad Anonima) · SU (Suncor Energy Inc.) · CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) · TTE (TotalEnergies SE) · SHEL (Shell PLC)