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STRAStrategic Education, Inc.Sell5.1·$74.15-4.21%
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Strategic Education, Inc. (STRA) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5.

Strategic Education, Inc. ("SEI," "we," "us," "our," or "the Company") is an education services company that provides access to high-quality education through campus-based and online post-secondary education offerings, as well as through programs to develop job-ready skills for... Read more

$74.15+9.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#12 of 15 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.87%
IncomeYield3.10%(5y avg 3.02%)Payout42.48%sustainable
Stop $69.28Target $81.24(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$87.00+17.3%3 analysts
$81.24our TP
$74.15price
$87.00mean
$95

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn10.2%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.50
Dividend3.10%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.57bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$60-19.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
3.4
Value Rank
6.9
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $74.00Resistance $82.90

Price Targets

$69
$81
A.Upside+9.6%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STRA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $69.28. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the STRA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.24 (+9.8% upside). Prior stop was $69.28. Stop-loss: $69.28.

What are the risks of investing in STRA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.7): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is STRA overvalued or undervalued?

Strategic Education, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STRA?

9 analysts cover STRA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Strategic Education, Inc. do?Strategic Education, Inc. ("SEI," "we," "us," "our," or "the Company") is an education services company that provides...

Strategic Education, Inc. ("SEI," "we," "us," "our," or "the Company") is an education services company that provides access to high-quality education through campus-based and online post-secondary education offerings, as well as through programs to develop job-ready skills for high-demand markets.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · LOPE (Grand Canyon Education, Inc.)
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