STMicroelectronics has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average negative surprise of 34% and its quality score of 3.5 sits below the minimum threshold, while free cash flow is deeply negative at -245% of net income; the indicated price upside is also negative, making the fundamental and technical cases both weak.
Thesis pillars
- 23pct Revenue Growth Thesis→Stable
- Earnings Miss Streak 34pct Avg→Stable
- Below Quality Floor Negative Fcf↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Technology · Semiconductors
Sell if holding. At $55.75, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).
STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power... Read more
Sell if holding. At $55.75, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — STMicroelectronics N.V.
Latest news
- NEWS If You Invested $100 In STMicroelectronics Stock 15 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today — benzinga Jul 31, 2026
- NEWS Goldman Sachs Maintains Neutral on STMicroelectronics, Lowers Price Target to $60.5 — benzinga Jul 27, 2026 negative
- NEWS Consumer Tech (July 20-24): AI Boom Drives Big Tech Earnings, Oracle Grabs $7B Defense Deal & More — benzinga Jul 26, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Mizuho Maintains Outperform on STMicroelectronics, Lowers Price Target to $80 — benzinga Jul 24, 2026 positive
- NEWS Crude Oil Rises Sharply; T-Mobile Shares Fall Following Q2 Results — benzinga Jul 23, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-08-15T17:17:26Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $55.75, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $50.49. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $62.22 (+14.6% upside). Prior stop was $50.49. Stop-loss: $50.49.
Consecutive earnings misses (3).
STMicroelectronics N.V. trades at a P/E of 106.5 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts cover STM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $72.
What does STMicroelectronics N.V. do?STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor...
STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power and Discrete products (P&D); Embedded Processing (EMP); and RF Products (D&RF) segments. It offers industrial application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and application-specific standard products (ASSPs); power management solutions; custom analog ICs, wireless charging solutions; galvanic isolated gate and LED drivers; converters, transistors, intelligent power switches, clocks and timers, comparators, and current-sense amplifiers; micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) sensors, including accelerometers, gyroscopes, magnetic sensors, pressure, temperature, presence detection, biosensors, machine learning, and edge AI processing smart sensors, as well as thermal and piezoelectric actuators; and optical sensing solutions. The company also provides silicon MOSFETs, SiC MOSFETs, IGBTs, thyristors, rectifiers, and power modules and bipolar transistors; microcontrollers, and automotive microcontrollers and secured; radio frequency (RF) communications and ASICs; car infotainment products; ultra-wide band and radar systems; and Connected Security Products; and automotive driver assistance systems. It serves automotive, industrial, personal electronics and communications equipment, and computers and peripherals markets. STMicroelectronics N.V. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Schiphol, the Netherlands.