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STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.24: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power... Read more

$54.24-1.7% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#35 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $50.48Target $53.36(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$51.94-4.2%14 analysts
$53.36our TP
$54.24price
$51.94mean
$33
$90

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.24: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-16.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)329.2
P/E (Fwd)23.6
Mkt Cap$46.8B
EV/EBITDA18.0
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE0.9%
Rev Growth23.0%
Beta1.22
Dividend0.68%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$13-76.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
3.7
Growth Rank
5.6

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
0.3
Net Margin
0.6
Roa
1.0
Operating Margin
1.8
Gross Margin
2.8
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
8.9
Current Ratio
9.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -114% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.5
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
93 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.63Resistance $54.45

Price Targets

$50
$53
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.24: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $50.48. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.36 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $50.48. Stop-loss: $50.48.

What are the risks of investing in STM?

Target reached (-16.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow.

Is STM overvalued or undervalued?

STMicroelectronics N.V. trades at a P/E of 329.2 (forward 23.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STM?

26 analysts cover STM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $52.

What does STMicroelectronics N.V. do?STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor...

STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power and Discrete products (P&D); Embedded Processing (“EMP”); and RF Products (D&RF) segments. It offers industrial application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and application-specific standard products (ASSPs); power management solutions; custom analog ICs, wireless charging solutions; galvanic isolated gate and LED drivers; converters, transistors, intelligent power switches, clocks and timers, comparators, and current-sense amplifiers; micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) sensors, including accelerometers, gyroscopes, magnetic sensors, pressure, temperature, presence detection, biosensors, machine learning, and edge AI processing smart sensors, as well as thermal and piezoelectric actuators; and optical sensing solutions. The company also provides silicon MOSFETs, SiC MOSFETs, IGBTs, thyristors, rectifiers, and power modules and bipolar transistors; microcontrollers, and automotive microcontrollers and secured; radio frequency (RF) communications and ASICs; car infotainment products; ultra-wide band and radar systems; and Connected Security Products; and automotive driver assistance systems. It serves automotive, industrial, personal electronics and communications equipment, and computers and peripherals markets. STMicroelectronics N.V. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Schiphol, the Netherlands.

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