STMicroelectronics has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average negative surprise of 34% and its quality score of 3.5 sits below the minimum threshold, while free cash flow is deeply negative at -245% of net income; the indicated price upside is also negative, making the fundamental and technical cases both weak.
Thesis pillars
- 23pct Revenue Growth Thesis↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Miss Streak 34pct Avg↓Deteriorating
- Below Quality Floor Negative Fcf↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Technology · Semiconductors
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $48.54: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $48.54: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — STMicroelectronics N.V.
Latest news
- NEWS STMicroelectronics Launches STM32G5 Microcontroller Series — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS STMicroelectronics Unveils Unified STM32 MCU Platform Spanning Industrial, Automotive And Robotics, Adding New STM32A Fa — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Inntot Technologies and STMicroelectronics Collaborate on Automotive Digital Radio — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 positive
- NEWS STMicroelectronics Announces Share Repurchase Program Status — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 positive
- NEWS Stabilus SE Reports 41st Interim Update on 2025 Share Buyback Program — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 neutral
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:44:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $48.54: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $45.14. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $61.30 (+26.3% upside). Prior stop was $45.14. Stop-loss: $45.14.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
STMicroelectronics N.V. trades at a P/E of 85.2 (forward 18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts rate STM, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 12 analysts publish price targets averaging $70.
What does STMicroelectronics N.V. do?STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor...
STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power and Discrete products (P&D); Embedded Processing (EMP); and RF Products (D&RF) segments. It offers industrial application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and application-specific standard products (ASSPs); power management solutions; custom analog ICs, wireless charging solutions; galvanic isolated gate and LED drivers; converters, transistors, intelligent power switches, clocks and timers, comparators, and current-sense amplifiers; micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) sensors, including accelerometers, gyroscopes, magnetic sensors, pressure, temperature, presence detection, biosensors, machine learning, and edge AI processing smart sensors, as well as thermal and piezoelectric actuators; and optical sensing solutions. The company also provides silicon MOSFETs, SiC MOSFETs, IGBTs, thyristors, rectifiers, and power modules and bipolar transistors; microcontrollers, and automotive microcontrollers and secured; radio frequency (RF) communications and ASICs; car infotainment products; ultra-wide band and radar systems; and Connected Security Products; and automotive driver assistance systems. It serves automotive, industrial, personal electronics and communications equipment, and computers and peripherals markets. STMicroelectronics N.V. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Plan-les-Ouates, Switzerland.