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SRADSportradar Group AGSell6.1·$12.99+0.54%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sportradar is recovering from a death-cross pattern with strong analyst conviction implying 35% upside and exceptional free cash flow at 416% of net income, but 2 of the last 3 earnings were misses and high leverage at debt-to-equity of 6.9 limits financial flexibility in a still-recovering technical trend.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Fcf ConversionStable
  • High Analyst Conviction UpsideDeteriorating
  • Earnings Miss Execution ConcernStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.99: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The... Read more

$12.99+28.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#34 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.09%
Stop $12.19Target $16.87(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$18.75+44.3%22 analysts
$16.87our TP
$12.99price
$18.75mean
$38

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.99: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)215.3
P/E (Fwd)22.5
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE2.0%
Rev Growth18.9%
Beta1.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C23.83bearish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.2
Support Resistance
4.9
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.14Resistance $14.06

Price Targets

$12
$17
A.Upside+28.7%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts29
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$19

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRAD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $12.99: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Prior stop was $12.19. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SRAD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.87 (+28.7% upside). Prior stop was $12.19. Stop-loss: $12.19.

What are the risks of investing in SRAD?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is SRAD overvalued or undervalued?

Sportradar Group AG trades at a P/E of 215.3 (forward 22.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SRAD?

29 analysts cover SRAD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Sportradar Group AG do?Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media...

Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers betting technology and solutions, including betting and gaming content; real-time sports data points; pre-match and live odds services; streaming and betting engagement services; iGaming, which includes virtual soccer, horse and dog racing, basketball, tennis, baseball, and cricket; managed betting and trading services; and sports betting and gaming platform. It also provides sports content, technology, and services that include marketing services; sports media services comprising data, content and solutions for broadcasters, publishers, rights-holders, and technology companies; integrity services, including monitoring, intelligence, education, consultancy, rights protection, and regulatory solutions; and sports performance solutions for competition management, official data generation, automated content distribution and performance analysis, which include video and analytics, and coaching and scouting products. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Sankt Gallen, Switzerland.

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