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SONSonoco Products CompanySell5.5·$50.71+0.28%
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Sonoco Products Company (SON) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. At $50.71, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%).

Sonoco Products is a global packaging manufacturer with two segments: Consumer Packaging (65% of 2025 net sales; metal cans, rigid paper containers, plastic) and Industrial Paper Packaging (30%; tubes, cores, paperboard). The company serves consumer staples, industrial, and... Read more

$50.71+4.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#8 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield16.57%
IncomeYield4.21%(5y avg 3.68%)Payout34.70%sustainable
Stop $47.72Target $52.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$60.89+20.1%9 analysts
$52.97our TP
$50.71price
$60.89mean
$65

Sell if holding. At $50.71, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 45%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.5%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.3
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn13.6%
ROE20.1%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta0.38
Dividend4.21%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C2.43bearish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$65+28.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductmetal cans45%
    10-K Item 1: 'metal cans and rigid paper containers were the Company's largest revenue-producing groups of products and services representing approximately 45% and 20%, respectively, of the Company's consolidated net sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Amendment to earlier 8-K: COO Rodger Fuller's retirement effective date changed from February 28, 2026 to April 11, 2026. He is retiring; no successor named in this filing. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Craig L. Nix appointed to Board of Directors as independent director, effective February 10, 2026; assigned to Audit Committee and Financial Policy Committee. Former CFO/COO of Deloitte. Routine board expansion.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.91Resistance $51.90

Price Targets

$48
$53
A.Upside+4.5%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $50.71, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $47.72. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SON stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.97 (+4.5% upside). Prior stop was $47.72. Stop-loss: $47.72.

What are the risks of investing in SON?

Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is SON overvalued or undervalued?

Sonoco Products Company trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SON?

17 analysts cover SON with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Sonoco Products Company do?Sonoco Products is a global packaging manufacturer with two segments: Consumer Packaging (65% of 2025 net sales; metal...

Sonoco Products is a global packaging manufacturer with two segments: Consumer Packaging (65% of 2025 net sales; metal cans, rigid paper containers, plastic) and Industrial Paper Packaging (30%; tubes, cores, paperboard). The company serves consumer staples, industrial, and construction markets through approximately 265 facilities in 37 countries; no single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.) · REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · GEF-B (Greif, Inc. Corporation) · SLGN (Silgan Holdings Inc.)
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