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SONSonoco Products CompanySell5.6·$51.22+1.73%
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Sonoco Products Company (SON) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. At $51.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%).

Sonoco Products is a global packaging manufacturer with two segments: Consumer Packaging (65% of 2025 net sales; metal cans, rigid paper containers, plastic) and Industrial Paper Packaging (30%; tubes, cores, paperboard). The company serves consumer staples, industrial, and... Read more

$51.22+3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield16.64%
IncomeYield4.23%(5y avg 3.68%)Payout34.70%sustainable
Stop $48.20Target $52.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$60.89+18.9%9 analysts
$52.97our TP
$51.22price
$60.89mean
$65

Sell if holding. At $51.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Sonoco Products Company

About Sonoco Products Company

Consumer Packaging and Industrial Paper Packaging contributed 65% and 30%, respectively, of Sonoco Products' 2025 net sales across 265 facilities in 37 countries—a footprint significantly reshaped by the December 2024 acquisition of Eviosys, a European food cans, ends and closures manufacturer, for $3.8 billion. Metal cans became the company's largest product group at 45% of 2025 net sales, surpassing rigid paper containers at 20% and tubes and cores at 16%. Approximately 22,000 full-time equivalent employees support the company, with 42% now based in Europe following the Eviosys deal.

Sonoco earns revenue by supplying engineered packaging to consumer staples producers—food, beverage, household, and pharmaceutical—and to industrial end markets including construction, apparel, and home furnishings. The Consumer Packaging segment manufactures metal food cans, aerosol canisters, and rigid paper containers; Industrial Paper Packaging makes paperboard tubes, cores, and uncoated recycled paperboard for folding cartons and laminated structures. Sonoco uses approximately 56% of its self-manufactured paperboard internally and sells the balance to third parties, providing some raw-material cost insulation. The company's 19 paper mills had capacity to produce 1.8 million tons of recycled paperboard annually in 2025. No single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated revenues in 2025, and the top five Consumer Packaging customers accounted for about 23% of that segment's sales. Principal inputs—recovered paper, steel, and aluminum—are purchased from multiple outside sources, but Section 232 tariffs currently impose a 50% duty on most foreign-sourced steel and aluminum, and Sonoco acknowledged it may be unable to maintain cost-sharing or pass-through arrangements with all customers.

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Approximately 52% of Sonoco's 2025 consolidated sales originated from outside the United States across 37 countries, exposing the company to currency fluctuation, tariff changes, and energy-availability uncertainty. European manufacturing sites depend on natural gas availability, and the 10-K notes that any escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict could further disrupt energy supply and commodity prices for European operations. Through the Eviosys acquisition, Sonoco also assumed existing Russian operations that carry heightened export-control and sanctions risk; the 10-K noted that the Russian government has recently seized assets of several Western metal can manufacturers under temporary administration orders, a precedent that could affect those facilities.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

From Sonoco Products Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Margin of safety: 45%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%)
Thin upside margin: 3.4%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.2
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn13.6%
ROE20.1%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta0.38
Dividend4.23%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.59bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$60+17.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductmetal cans45%
    10-K Item 1: 'metal cans and rigid paper containers were the Company's largest revenue-producing groups of products and services representing approximately 45% and 20%, respectively, of the Company's consolidated net sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Amendment to earlier 8-K: COO Rodger Fuller's retirement effective date changed from February 28, 2026 to April 11, 2026. He is retiring; no successor named in this filing. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Craig L. Nix appointed to Board of Directors as independent director, effective February 10, 2026; assigned to Audit Committee and Financial Policy Committee. Former CFO/COO of Deloitte. Routine board expansion.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
7.9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.91Resistance $51.90

Price Targets

$48
$53
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $51.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $48.20. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SON stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.97 (+3.4% upside). Prior stop was $48.20. Stop-loss: $48.20.

What are the risks of investing in SON?

Concentration risk — Product: metal cans (45.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is SON overvalued or undervalued?

Sonoco Products Company trades at a P/E of 8.2 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SON?

17 analysts cover SON with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Sonoco Products Company do?Sonoco Products is a global packaging manufacturer with two segments: Consumer Packaging (65% of 2025 net sales; metal...

Sonoco Products is a global packaging manufacturer with two segments: Consumer Packaging (65% of 2025 net sales; metal cans, rigid paper containers, plastic) and Industrial Paper Packaging (30%; tubes, cores, paperboard). The company serves consumer staples, industrial, and construction markets through approximately 265 facilities in 37 countries; no single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.) · REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · GEF-B (Greif, Inc. Corporation) · SLGN (Silgan Holdings Inc.)
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