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SONSonoco Products CompanySell4.9·$48.83
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sonoco Products offers compelling valuation at a forward price-to-earnings of 7.9 times with a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.33, and strong price momentum with rising volume accumulation, but inconsistent earnings delivery and a 52% international revenue exposure create meaningful execution risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low Peg→Stable
  • Price Momentum Accumulation↑Improving
  • Earnings Delivery Inconsistency→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sonoco Products Company (SON) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.83: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Sonoco Products manufactures packaging in two segments—Consumer Packaging (65% of 2025 net sales) and Industrial Paper Packaging (30%)—across 265 facilities in 37 countries. Metal cans (45% of net sales) and rigid paper containers (20%) serve food, beverage, and household... Read more

$48.83+1.8% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#17 of 18 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield14.14%
IncomeYield4.42%(5y avg 3.69%)Payout32.97%sustainable
Stop $45.71Analyst target $49.70(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst consensus$57.13+17.0%8 analysts with price targets
$49.70Analyst target
$48.83price
$57.13mean
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.83: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Sonoco Products Company

About Sonoco Products Company

Consumer Packaging and Industrial Paper Packaging contributed 65% and 30%, respectively, of Sonoco Products' 2025 net sales across 265 facilities in 37 countries—a footprint significantly reshaped by the December 2024 acquisition of Eviosys, a European food cans, ends and closures manufacturer, for $3.8 billion. Metal cans became the company's largest product group at 45% of 2025 net sales, surpassing rigid paper containers at 20% and tubes and cores at 16%. Approximately 22,000 full-time equivalent employees support the company, with 42% now based in Europe following the Eviosys deal.

Sonoco earns revenue by supplying engineered packaging to consumer staples producers—food, beverage, household, and pharmaceutical—and to industrial end markets including construction, apparel, and home furnishings. The Consumer Packaging segment manufactures metal food cans, aerosol canisters, and rigid paper containers; Industrial Paper Packaging makes paperboard tubes, cores, and uncoated recycled paperboard for folding cartons and laminated structures. Sonoco uses approximately 56% of its self-manufactured paperboard internally and sells the balance to third parties, providing some raw-material cost insulation. The company's 19 paper mills had capacity to produce 1.8 million tons of recycled paperboard annually in 2025. No single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated revenues in 2025, and the top five Consumer Packaging customers accounted for about 23% of that segment's sales. Principal inputs—recovered paper, steel, and aluminum—are purchased from multiple outside sources, but Section 232 tariffs currently impose a 50% duty on most foreign-sourced steel and aluminum, and Sonoco acknowledged it may be unable to maintain cost-sharing or pass-through arrangements with all customers.

Show full overview

Approximately 52% of Sonoco's 2025 consolidated sales originated from outside the United States across 37 countries, exposing the company to currency fluctuation, tariff changes, and energy-availability uncertainty. European manufacturing sites depend on natural gas availability, and the 10-K notes that any escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict could further disrupt energy supply and commodity prices for European operations. Through the Eviosys acquisition, Sonoco also assumed existing Russian operations that carry heightened export-control and sanctions risk; the 10-K noted that the Russian government has recently seized assets of several Western metal can manufacturers under temporary administration orders, a precedent that could affect those facilities.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

From Sonoco Products Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — Sonoco Products Company

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:37Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 9, 202797d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (52.0%)
Target reached (1.8% upside)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn-3.1%
ROE-6.8%
Rev Growth-4.2%
Beta0.35
Dividend4.42%
Analysts with ratings16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$40-18.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 52% of consolidated sales came from operations outside of the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOW
    Chief Accounting Officer Aditya Gandhi resigned effective May 29, 2026. CFO Paul Joachimczyk will assume principal accounting officer duties until a successor is appointed. No disagreement with the Company or Board cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.4
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
2.5
Roa
2.6
Operating Margin
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.5
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
1.0
Value Rank
7.2
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 97d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $46.66Resistance $51.49

Price Targets

$46
$50
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-09 (97d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.83: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $45.71. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SON stock price target?

Analyst target: $49.70 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $45.71. Stop-loss: $45.71.

What are the risks of investing in SON?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (52.0%); Target reached (1.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is SON overvalued or undervalued?

Sonoco Products Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SON?

16 analysts rate SON, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 8 analysts publish price targets averaging $57.

What does Sonoco Products Company do?Sonoco Products manufactures packaging in two segments—Consumer Packaging (65% of 2025 net sales) and Industrial Paper...

Sonoco Products manufactures packaging in two segments—Consumer Packaging (65% of 2025 net sales) and Industrial Paper Packaging (30%)—across 265 facilities in 37 countries. Metal cans (45% of net sales) and rigid paper containers (20%) serve food, beverage, and household customers; tubes and cores (16%) serve industrial end markets. Vertical integration through 19 paper mills underpins the fiber segment.

Related stocks: AMCR (Amcor plc) · MYE (Myers Industries, Inc.) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · GEF-B (Greif, Inc. Corporation) · SLGN (Silgan Holdings Inc.)
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