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SHELShell PLCHold5.8·$88.38+0.49%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Shell offers deep value at 8.8x forward earnings with a rising earnings estimate trend and strong technical support, but falling On-Balance Volume, negative price momentum, and a below-average quality score of 4.5 indicate the market is not yet convinced the fundamental recovery thesis is complete.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Forward Earnings MultipleStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Estimate Revisions UpStable
  • Strong Technical Support LevelsImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Shell PLC (SHEL) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $88.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and other parts of the Americas. It operates through the following segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, and Renewables and Energy... Read more

$88.38-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.39%
IncomeYield3.55%(5y avg 3.58%)Payout45.05%sustainable
Stop $85.22Target $87.62(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$96.47+9.1%15 analysts
$87.62our TP
$88.38price
$96.47mean
$78
$121

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $88.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Overbought (RSI 86)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$244.5B
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth0.7%
Beta-0.23
Dividend3.55%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
8.8
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
86 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.26Resistance $89.41

Price Targets

$85
$88
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHEL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $88.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $87.62 (-0.9%), stop $85.22 (−3.7%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.62 (-1.8% upside). Target $87.62 (-0.9%), stop $85.22 (−3.7%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $85.22.

What are the risks of investing in SHEL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Overbought (RSI 86).

Is SHEL overvalued or undervalued?

Shell PLC trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SHEL?

25 analysts cover SHEL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Shell PLC do?Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and...

Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and other parts of the Americas. It operates through the following segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, and Renewables and Energy Solutions. The company explores for and extracts natural gas to produce liquefied natural gas or convert it into gas-to-liquids (GTL) fuels and other products; explores for and extracts crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids; and operates marketing and transportation of oil, gas, and liquids, supported by the infrastructure required to deliver them to market or to process them within Shell's chemical manufacturing plants and refineries. It is also involved in marketing, which includes mobility, lubricants, and sectors focused on decarbonization; operates a retail network, including electric vehicle charging, convenience retail, and the wholesale commercial fuels business for transport and industry; sells products for road transport and machinery in manufacturing, mining, power generation, agriculture, and construction; and provides low-carbon energy solutions, such as biofuels, to a broad range of commercial customers, including those in the aviation, marine, and agriculture sectors. In addition, the company offers chemicals and products, including chemicals manufacturing plants with their own marketing network, and refineries that turn crude oil and other feedstocks into a range of oil products, which are moved and marketed around the world for domestic, industrial, and transport use; and operates a pipeline business, trading, and optimization of crude oil, oil products, and petrochemicals. The company was formerly known as Royal Dutch Shell plc and changed its name to Shell plc in January 2022. Shell plc was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

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