Skip to main content
EQNREquinor ASABuy Wait5.7·$33.99-0.78%
Open full analysis

Equinor ASA (EQNR) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Wait for pullback to $33.00. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $33.99. Engine's entry $33.00 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production Norway; Exploration & Production International; Exploration & Production USA; Marketing, Midstream & Processing; and Renewables segments. The company engages in... Read more

$33.99+22.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield21.20%
IncomeYield4.44%(5y avg 3.75%)Payout66.97%
Entry $33.00(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $30.62Target $40.12(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1Setup A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$37.63+10.7%6 analysts
$40.12our TP
$33.99price
$37.63mean
$33
$42

Wait for pullback to $33.00. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $33.99. Engine's entry $33.00 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=8.4x,ratio=0.54x. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$85.3B
EV/EBITDA5.1
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth-5.3%
Beta-0.75
Dividend4.44%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$48+41.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.8
Rsi
7.9
Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
2.9
Value Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=8.4x,ratio=0.54xInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.66Resistance $40.94

Price Targets

$31
$33
$40
A.Upside+18.0%
A.R:R-0.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQNR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $33.00. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $33.99. Engine's entry $33.00 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $40.12 (+18.0%), stop $30.62 (−11.0%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.12 (+22.9% upside). Target $40.12 (+18.0%), stop $30.62 (−11.0%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $30.62.

What are the risks of investing in EQNR?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.54× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is EQNR overvalued or undervalued?

Equinor ASA trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EQNR?

37 analysts cover EQNR with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Equinor ASA do?Equinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production...

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production Norway; Exploration & Production International; Exploration & Production USA; Marketing, Midstream & Processing; and Renewables segments. The company engages in the discovery and appraisal of new resources, as well as commercial development and operation of the oil and gas portfolios; oil and gas field development, well deliveries, and sourcing; research, technology development, specialist advisory services, digitalization, IT, improvement, innovation, and ventures and future business; and developing, exploring, investing in, and operating areas within renewable energy, such as offshore wind, green hydrogen, storage solutions, and solar power. It is also involved in the marketing, trading, processing, and transportation of crude oil and condensate, natural gas, NGL and refined products, including refineries, terminals, and processing plant operation; power and emissions trading; development of transportation solutions for natural gas, liquids, and crude oil, including pipelines, shipping, trucking, and rail; and provision of low carbon solutions. The company was formerly known as Statoil ASA and changed its name to Equinor ASA in May 2018. Equinor ASA was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Stavanger, Norway.

Related stocks: SU (Suncor Energy Inc.) · YPF (YPF Sociedad Anonima) · TTE (TotalEnergies SE) · CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) · PBR-A (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob)
Home Stocks EQNR

Latest news

Latest News

TradingKey49d ago
The Globe and Mail49d ago
MarketBeat49d agoEarnings
GuruFocus21d ago
TradingView21d ago
GuruFocus27d ago
Quiver Quantitative28d ago
AD HOC NEWS28d agoEarnings
GlobeNewswire28d ago
GlobeNewswire28d ago
AD HOC NEWS28d agoEarnings
TradingKey4h ago
GuruFocus35d ago
The Manila Times35d ago
GuruFocus35d ago
Seeking Alpha7d ago
MarketBeat50d ago
Equinor22d ago
Finance.yahoo.com22d ago
Yahoo Finance22d ago
Loading more...