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SDRLSeadrill LimitedSell5.2·$42.24-4.54%
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Seadrill Limited (SDRL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.24: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Seadrill is an offshore drilling contractor operating 10 active drillships and semi-submersible rigs (15 total units), providing deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling services to oil and gas companies globally on dayrate contracts. Top four customers—Petrobras (36%), Sonadrill... Read more

$42.24+16.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#5 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.12%
Stop $40.75Target $49.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$56.43+33.6%7 analysts
$49.09our TP
$42.24price
$56.43mean
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.24: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Seadrill Limited

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn-5.0%
ROE-2.4%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta1.36
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$45+6.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerPetrobras36%
    10-K Item 1: 'Petrobras| 36 | %| | 18 | %| | 16 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerSonadrill22%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sonadrill| 22 | %| | 22 | %| | 17 | %'
  • LOWCustomerTalos11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Talos| 11 | %| | 2 | %| | 7 | %'
  • LOWCustomerLLOG10%
    10-K Item 1: 'LLOG| 10 | %| | 9 | %| | 9 | %'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Samir Ali appointed President and CEO effective March 12, 2026, replacing Simon Johnson immediately. Ali previously served as EVP Chief Commercial Officer since August 2022. Annual base salary set at $750,000; successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 22)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
7.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.8
Gross Margin
2.2
Operating Margin
2.9
Moat
5.1
Current Ratio
6.8
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
22 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.01Resistance $55.47

Price Targets

$41
$49
A.Upside+16.2%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SDRL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.24: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $40.75. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SDRL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.09 (+16.3% upside). Prior stop was $40.75. Stop-loss: $40.75.

What are the risks of investing in SDRL?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is SDRL overvalued or undervalued?

Seadrill Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SDRL?

16 analysts cover SDRL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Seadrill Limited do?Seadrill is an offshore drilling contractor operating 10 active drillships and semi-submersible rigs (15 total units),...

Seadrill is an offshore drilling contractor operating 10 active drillships and semi-submersible rigs (15 total units), providing deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling services to oil and gas companies globally on dayrate contracts. Top four customers—Petrobras (36%), Sonadrill (22%), Talos (11%), and LLOG (10%)—accounted for 79% of 2025 total operating revenues.

Related stocks: BORR (Borr Drilling Limited) · RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) · PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation) · SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) · NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.)
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