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Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.81 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away).

Transocean is an international provider of offshore contract drilling services, operating 27 mobile drilling units (20 ultra-deepwater drillships, 7 harsh environment semisubmersibles) for oil and gas companies globally. Contract backlog was $6.06 billion as of February 19,... Read more

$6.81+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#5 of 9 Oil & Gas Drilling
Stop $6.35Target $6.88(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$5.91-13.2%11 analysts
$6.88our TP
$6.81price
$5.91mean
$4
$10

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.81 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.4% away)
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)40.8
Mkt Cap$7.7B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn-73.5%
ROE-31.7%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta1.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerPetrobras22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (together with its affiliates, "Petrobras") ... representing 22 percent ... of our consolidated operating revenues'
  • LOWCustomerShell22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Shell plc (together with its affiliates, "Shell") ... 22 percent ... of our consolidated operating revenues'
  • LOWCustomerEquinor12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Equinor ASA (together with its affiliates, "Equinor"), representing ... 12 percent ... of our consolidated operating revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
6.3
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.82Resistance $7.02

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RIG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.81 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $6.35. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RIG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.88 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $6.35. Stop-loss: $6.35.

What are the risks of investing in RIG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is RIG overvalued or undervalued?

Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 40.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RIG?

17 analysts cover RIG with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) do?Transocean is an international provider of offshore contract drilling services, operating 27 mobile drilling units (20...

Transocean is an international provider of offshore contract drilling services, operating 27 mobile drilling units (20 ultra-deepwater drillships, 7 harsh environment semisubmersibles) for oil and gas companies globally. Contract backlog was $6.06 billion as of February 19, 2026. On February 9, 2026, it announced a business combination agreement to acquire Valaris.

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