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RIGTransocean Ltd (Switzerland)Sell5.9·$5.57-4.46%
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Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $5.57 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Transocean Ltd. is a Switzerland-incorporated offshore contract driller operating 27 mobile offshore drilling units — 20 ultra-deepwater drillships and seven harsh-environment semisubmersibles — across 20 countries. Revenue comes from dayrate contracts with major oil companies;... Read more

$5.57+34.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield16.83%
Stop $5.40Target $7.51(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$6.30+13.2%11 analysts
$7.51our TP
$5.57price
$6.30mean
$4
$10

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $5.57 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.0
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn-66.8%
ROE-30.0%
Rev Growth19.3%
Beta1.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$13+133.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerPetrobras22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (together with its affiliates, "Petrobras")... representing 22 percent... of our consolidated operating revenues'
  • LOWCustomerShell22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Shell plc (together with its affiliates, "Shell")... representing 22 percent... of our consolidated operating revenues'
  • LOWCustomerEquinor12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Equinor ASA (together with its affiliates, "Equinor")... 12 percent... of our consolidated operating revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.8
Volume
3.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.57Resistance $7.66

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+34.8%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RIG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $5.57 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.40. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RIG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.51 (+34.3% upside). Prior stop was $5.40. Stop-loss: $5.40.

What are the risks of investing in RIG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is RIG overvalued or undervalued?

Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RIG?

17 analysts cover RIG with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) do?Transocean Ltd. is a Switzerland-incorporated offshore contract driller operating 27 mobile offshore drilling units —...

Transocean Ltd. is a Switzerland-incorporated offshore contract driller operating 27 mobile offshore drilling units — 20 ultra-deepwater drillships and seven harsh-environment semisubmersibles — across 20 countries. Revenue comes from dayrate contracts with major oil companies; top customers Petrobras, Shell, and Equinor represented 22%, 22%, and 12% of 2025 revenues. Contract backlog stood at $6.29 billion at December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: BORR (Borr Drilling Limited) · SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) · PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation) · NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.) · SDRL (Seadrill Limited)
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