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Seadrill Limited (SDRL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $52.96: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Seadrill is an offshore drilling contractor operating 10 active drillships and semi-submersible rigs (15 total units), providing deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling services to oil and gas companies globally on dayrate contracts. Top four customers—Petrobras (36%), Sonadrill... Read more

$52.96+1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#6 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.36%
Stop $50.22Target $54.36(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$56.43+6.5%7 analysts
$54.36our TP
$52.96price
$56.43mean
$45
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $52.96: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Seadrill Limited

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-8.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.3
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn-5.0%
ROE-2.4%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta1.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerPetrobras36%
    10-K Item 1: 'Petrobras| 36 | %| | 18 | %| | 16 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerSonadrill22%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sonadrill| 22 | %| | 22 | %| | 17 | %'
  • LOWCustomerTalos11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Talos| 11 | %| | 2 | %| | 7 | %'
  • LOWCustomerLLOG10%
    10-K Item 1: 'LLOG| 10 | %| | 9 | %| | 9 | %'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Samir Ali appointed President and CEO effective March 12, 2026, replacing Simon Johnson immediately. Ali previously served as EVP Chief Commercial Officer since August 2022. Annual base salary set at $750,000; successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.8
Gross Margin
2.2
Operating Margin
2.9
Moat
5.1
Current Ratio
6.8
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.77Resistance $55.47

Price Targets

$50
$54
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SDRL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $52.96: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $50.22. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SDRL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.36 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $50.22. Stop-loss: $50.22.

What are the risks of investing in SDRL?

Target reached (-8.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is SDRL overvalued or undervalued?

Seadrill Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SDRL?

16 analysts cover SDRL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Seadrill Limited do?Seadrill is an offshore drilling contractor operating 10 active drillships and semi-submersible rigs (15 total units),...

Seadrill is an offshore drilling contractor operating 10 active drillships and semi-submersible rigs (15 total units), providing deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling services to oil and gas companies globally on dayrate contracts. Top four customers—Petrobras (36%), Sonadrill (22%), Talos (11%), and LLOG (10%)—accounted for 79% of 2025 total operating revenues.

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