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BORRBorr Drilling LimitedSell5.8·$3.88+0.00%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Attractively priced relative to earnings growth with improving technical momentum from an oversold level, but negative free cash flow and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 4.00 create a difficult risk/reward that does not yet support a constructive entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Growth DiscountDeteriorating
  • Negative Fcf Leverage RiskStable
  • Oversold Pullback In UptrendImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Earnings in 3 days (2026-08-11). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.88: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 29.09; Below-average business quality.

Borr Drilling Limited operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the Americas, Southeast Asia, West Africa, the Middle East, North Africa, and Europe. It owns, contracts, and operates jack-up rigs for operations in shallow-water... Read more

$3.88+12.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#1 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-7.56%
IncomeYield3.92%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $3.66Target $4.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$5.01+29.1%6 analysts
$4.36our TP
$3.88price
$5.01mean
$3
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.88: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 29.09; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.7
P/E (Fwd)19.1
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE3.0%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta1.01
Dividend3.92%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C29.09bearish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
1.0
Debt Equity
3.1
Short Interest
4.0
Days To Cover
5.4
Beta
7.0
Elevated put/call: 29.09High IV: 86%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume
4.9
Macd
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 2.53%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.77Resistance $4.59

Price Targets

$4
$4
A.Upside+12.9%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BORR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.88: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 29.09; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $3.66. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BORR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.36 (+12.9% upside). Prior stop was $3.66. Stop-loss: $3.66.

What are the risks of investing in BORR?

Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is BORR overvalued or undervalued?

Borr Drilling Limited trades at a P/E of 25.7 (forward 19.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BORR?

15 analysts cover BORR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Borr Drilling Limited do?Borr Drilling Limited operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the...

Borr Drilling Limited operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the Americas, Southeast Asia, West Africa, the Middle East, North Africa, and Europe. It owns, contracts, and operates jack-up rigs for operations in shallow-water areas, such as the provision of related equipment and work crews to conduct oil and gas drilling and workover operations for exploration and production. It serves oil and gas exploration and production companies, such as integrated oil companies, state-owned national oil companies, and independent oil and gas companies. The company was formerly known as Magni Drilling Limited and changed its name to Borr Drilling Limited in December 2016. Borr Drilling Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) · HP (Helmerich & Payne, Inc.) · PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.) · SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) · PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation)
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