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BORRBorr Drilling LimitedSell5.8·$4.21-3.44%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Attractively priced relative to earnings growth with improving technical momentum from an oversold level, but negative free cash flow and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 4.00 create a difficult risk/reward that does not yet support a constructive entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Growth DiscountStable
  • Negative Fcf Leverage RiskStable
  • Oversold Pullback In UptrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.21 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Negative momentum.

Borr Drilling Limited operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the Americas, Southeast Asia, West Africa, the Middle East, North Africa, and Europe. It owns, contracts, and operates jack-up rigs for operations in shallow-water... Read more

$4.21+18.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-6.69%
IncomeYield3.92%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $3.93Target $4.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$5.71+35.6%5 analysts
$4.97our TP
$4.21price
$5.71mean
$3
$7

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.21 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.1
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE3.0%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta0.97
Dividend3.92%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Macd
6.3
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+8.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.05Resistance $5.49

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+18.1%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BORR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.21 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $3.93. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BORR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.97 (+18.1% upside). Prior stop was $3.93. Stop-loss: $3.93.

What are the risks of investing in BORR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow.

Is BORR overvalued or undervalued?

Borr Drilling Limited trades at a P/E of 29.1 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BORR?

14 analysts cover BORR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Borr Drilling Limited do?Borr Drilling Limited operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the...

Borr Drilling Limited operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the Americas, Southeast Asia, West Africa, the Middle East, North Africa, and Europe. It owns, contracts, and operates jack-up rigs for operations in shallow-water areas, such as the provision of related equipment and work crews to conduct oil and gas drilling and workover operations for exploration and production. It serves oil and gas exploration and production companies, such as integrated oil companies, state-owned national oil companies, and independent oil and gas companies. The company was formerly known as Magni Drilling Limited and changed its name to Borr Drilling Limited in December 2016. Borr Drilling Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) · SDRL (Seadrill Limited) · SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) · NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.) · PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation)
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