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Noble Corporation plc A (NE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $50.89 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Noble Corporation provides offshore contract drilling services via 36 drilling rigs (25 floaters, 11 jackups) deployed globally to oil and gas companies, completing the Diamond Offshore acquisition in September 2024. Revenue comes from dayrate drilling contracts primarily with... Read more

$50.89+5.2% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#8 of 9 Oil & Gas Drilling
Stop $47.30Target $53.48(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$49.20-3.3%10 analysts
$53.48our TP
$50.89price
$49.20mean
$32
$59

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $50.89 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak overall score: 4.5/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.2
P/E (Fwd)20.3
Mkt Cap$8.0B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE5.0%
Rev Growth-10.8%
Beta1.01
Dividend3.98%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerExxonMobil (19.7% of revenues)20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'ExxonMobil, BP, and Petrobras accounted for approximately 19.7%, 13.2%, and 12.5% respectively, of our consolidated operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicUS Gulf (27.1% of revenues)27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'operations in the US Gulf, Guyana, and the North Sea accounted for approximately 27.1%, 19.7%, and 16.9%, respectively, of our consolidated operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Kristin Holth resigned from Noble Corporation's Board effective at the 2026 Annual General Meeting and will not stand for re-election. No disagreement with Board or management cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -10.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
4.4
Declining revenue: -11%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
7.6
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.44Resistance $54.57

Price Targets

$47
$53
A.Upside+5.1%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $50.89 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $47.30. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.48 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $47.30. Stop-loss: $47.30.

What are the risks of investing in NE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.5/10.

Is NE overvalued or undervalued?

Noble Corporation plc A trades at a P/E of 35.2 (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NE?

21 analysts cover NE with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Noble Corporation plc A do?Noble Corporation provides offshore contract drilling services via 36 drilling rigs (25 floaters, 11 jackups) deployed...

Noble Corporation provides offshore contract drilling services via 36 drilling rigs (25 floaters, 11 jackups) deployed globally to oil and gas companies, completing the Diamond Offshore acquisition in September 2024. Revenue comes from dayrate drilling contracts primarily with major integrated and national oil companies.

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