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SCLStepan CompanySell6.0·$65.17-0.17%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Stepan Company is a specialty chemicals company trading at a forward price-to-earnings of 13.9x with a PEG of 0.02 and 38% analyst upside, and has broken out above all major moving averages, but business quality is below the minimum threshold at 2.2 out of 10 with 3 consecutive earnings misses, creating a fundamental quality barrier to full conviction.

Thesis pillars

  • Compelling Value With Analyst UpsideStable
  • Technical Breakout Above All MasStable
  • Quality Below Minimum ThresholdStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Stepan Company (SCL) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.17: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality.

Stepan Company, which was incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware on February 19, 1959, and its subsidiaries produce specialty and intermediate chemicals, which are sold to other manufacturers and used in a variety of end products. The Company has three reportable... Read more

$65.17+10.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#15 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.74%
IncomeYield2.43%(5y avg 1.90%)Payout75.61%
Stop $60.71Target $72.25(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$85.00+30.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.17: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15

Recent Developments — Stepan Company

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jul 29, 2026 MEDIUM Item 2.05: On July 28, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of the Company approved a plan to reduce the Company's global salaried workforce by around 100 roles during the third quarter of 2026 as part of Project Catalyst, the Company's previously announced comprehensive operational and efficiency ini...
  • 8K Jul 29, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Delaware | | 36-1823834 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) 1101 Skokie Boulevard, Suite 500, Northbrook, IL 60062 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code) (847) 446-7500 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) (For...

Generated 2026-08-15T11:32:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE-0.2%
Rev Growth15.0%
Beta0.94
Dividend2.43%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV82%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-29Item 2.05MEDIUM
    On July 28, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of the Company approved a plan to reduce the Company's global salaried workforce by around 100 roles during the third quarter of 2026 as part of Project Catalyst, the Company's previously announced comprehensive operational and efficiency ini...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-07-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Delaware | | 36-1823834 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) 1101 Skokie Boulevard, Suite 500, Northbrook, IL 60062 (Address of principal executive offices, including zip code) (847) 446-7500 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) (For...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.4
Operating Margin
2.5
Current Ratio
4.5
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.4
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spot8K SERIOUS 2.05Momentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.28Resistance $66.75

Price Targets

$61
$72
A.Upside+10.9%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.05

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.17: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $60.71. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.25 (+10.9% upside). Prior stop was $60.71. Stop-loss: $60.71.

What are the risks of investing in SCL?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is SCL overvalued or undervalued?

Stepan Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCL?

5 analysts cover SCL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Stepan Company do?Stepan Company, which was incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware on February 19, 1959, and its...

Stepan Company, which was incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware on February 19, 1959, and its subsidiaries produce specialty and intermediate chemicals, which are sold to other manufacturers and used in a variety of end products. The Company has three reportable segments: Surfactants, Polymers and Specialty Products.

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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga17d ago
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