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SCLStepan CompanySell6.0·$70.65
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Stepan Company is a specialty chemicals company trading at a forward price-to-earnings of 13.9x with a PEG of 0.02 and 38% analyst upside, and has broken out above all major moving averages, but business quality is below the minimum threshold at 2.2 out of 10 with 3 consecutive earnings misses, creating a fundamental quality barrier to full conviction.

Thesis pillars

  • Compelling Value With Analyst Upside→Stable
  • Technical Breakout Above All Mas→Stable
  • Quality Below Minimum Threshold→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Stepan Company (SCL) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.65: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.75; Below-average business quality.

Stepan Company, which was incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware on February 19, 1959, and its subsidiaries produce specialty and intermediate chemicals, which are sold to other manufacturers and used in a variety of end products. The Company has three reportable... Read more

$70.65+2.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#11 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.29%(5y avg 1.78%)Payout75.61%
Stop $66.47Analyst target $72.25(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$85.00+20.3%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.65: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity 108d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — Stepan Company

Latest news

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 22, 2027108d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Target reached (2.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)371.8
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE0.4%
Rev Growth17.3%
Beta0.91
Dividend2.29%
Analysts with ratings6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.75bearish
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roe
0.1
Net Margin
0.1
Roa
1.5
Operating Margin
1.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
6.7
Quality concerns
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 108d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.19Resistance $72.67

Price Targets

$66
$72
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-22 (108d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.65: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $66.47. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCL stock price target?

Analyst target: $72.25 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $66.47. Stop-loss: $66.47.

What are the risks of investing in SCL?

Target reached (2.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is SCL overvalued or undervalued?

Stepan Company trades at a P/E of 371.8 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCL?

6 analysts rate SCL, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $85.

What does Stepan Company do?Stepan Company, which was incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware on February 19, 1959, and its...

Stepan Company, which was incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware on February 19, 1959, and its subsidiaries produce specialty and intermediate chemicals, which are sold to other manufacturers and used in a variety of end products. The Company has three reportable segments: Surfactants, Polymers and Specialty Products.

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Latest News

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