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SBSCompanhia de saneamento Basico Hold6.6·$4.60-1.71%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Companhia de Saneamento Basico is a regulated water utility that ranks in the top tier of its peer group on valuation, profitability, and growth simultaneously, trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 10.1x with a PEG of 0.65, but a free cash flow quality flag and thin asymmetry limit near-term positioning.

Thesis pillars

  • Peer Leading Valuation Quality GrowthDeteriorating
  • Attractive Forward ValuationImproving
  • Free Cash Flow Quality ConcernStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Companhia de saneamento Basico (SBS) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum.

Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP provides basic and environmental sanitation services in the São Paulo State, Brazil. It supplies treated water and sewage services on a wholesale basis. Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP... Read more

$4.60+29.3% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 9 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-61.69%
IncomeYield0.66%(5y avg 1.79%)Payout58.04%sustainable
Stop $4.35Target $5.95(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$6.84+48.6%5 analysts
$5.95our TP
$4.60price
$6.84mean
$8

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 17, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Margin of safety: 32%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.2
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$16.5B
EV/EBITDA3.3
Profit Mgn22.0%
ROE21.2%
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta0.09
Dividend0.66%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV139%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.3
Rsi
3.0
Volume
7.5
Capitulation risk (RSI 17, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
2.3
Dividend Safety
3.7
Erm
5.0
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
17 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.48Resistance $5.86

Price Targets

$4
$6
A.Upside+29.3%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 17, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $5.95 (+29.3%), stop $4.35 (−5.7%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.95 (+29.3% upside). Target $5.95 (+29.3%), stop $4.35 (−5.7%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $4.35.

What are the risks of investing in SBS?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum.

Is SBS overvalued or undervalued?

Companhia de saneamento Basico trades at a P/E of 10.2 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SBS?

21 analysts cover SBS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $7.

What does Companhia de saneamento Basico do?Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP provides basic and environmental sanitation services in...

Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP provides basic and environmental sanitation services in the São Paulo State, Brazil. It supplies treated water and sewage services on a wholesale basis. Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Related stocks: CWT (California Water Service Group) · AWR (American States Water Company) · WTRG (Essential Utilities, Inc.) · AWK (American Water Works Company, I) · HTO (H2O America)
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