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H2O America (HTO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

H2O America (formerly SJW Group) is a water utility holding company providing regulated water service through subsidiaries in San Jose CA (SJWC), Connecticut and Maine (CTWS), and Texas (TWC). Revenue is generated from tariffed retail water sales at rates authorized by state... Read more

$57.61+5.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#2 of 6 Utilities - Regulated Water
Stop $55.13Target $60.63(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$64.33+11.7%6 analysts
$60.63our TP
$57.61price
$64.33mean
$67

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.7
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.41
Dividend3.06%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.75bearish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.0
Revenue Growth
4.8
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.84Resistance $61.87

Price Targets

$55
$61
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.8% upside)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HTO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $55.13. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.63 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $55.13. Stop-loss: $55.13.

What are the risks of investing in HTO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Weak growth.

Is HTO overvalued or undervalued?

H2O America trades at a P/E of 19.7 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HTO?

9 analysts cover HTO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $64.

What does H2O America do?H2O America (formerly SJW Group) is a water utility holding company providing regulated water service through...

H2O America (formerly SJW Group) is a water utility holding company providing regulated water service through subsidiaries in San Jose CA (SJWC), Connecticut and Maine (CTWS), and Texas (TWC). Revenue is generated from tariffed retail water sales at rates authorized by state public utility commissions; the company also provides contract water operations and real estate activities.

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