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H2O America (HTO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.18 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

H2O America (formerly SJW Group) is a regulated water utility holding company with subsidiaries serving customers in California (San Jose area), Connecticut, Texas, and Maine. Revenue is earned through cost-of-service retail water rates authorized by state public utility... Read more

$56.18+7.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#4 of 6 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-11.09%
IncomeYield3.12%(5y avg 2.53%)Payout58.22%sustainable
Stop $53.43Target $60.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$63.71+13.4%7 analysts
$60.17our TP
$56.18price
$63.71mean
$67

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.18 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — H2O America

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)20.5
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.34
Dividend3.12%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.0
Revenue Growth
4.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.25%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.08Resistance $61.40

Price Targets

$53
$60
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.2% upside)
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HTO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.18 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $53.43. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.17 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $53.43. Stop-loss: $53.43.

What are the risks of investing in HTO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is HTO overvalued or undervalued?

H2O America trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HTO?

10 analysts cover HTO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $64.

What does H2O America do?H2O America (formerly SJW Group) is a regulated water utility holding company with subsidiaries serving customers in...

H2O America (formerly SJW Group) is a regulated water utility holding company with subsidiaries serving customers in California (San Jose area), Connecticut, Texas, and Maine. Revenue is earned through cost-of-service retail water rates authorized by state public utility commissions. California represents the largest operation with a $1.3B authorized rate base.

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