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HTOH2O AmericaSell4.8·$57.20+0.25%
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H2O America (HTO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

H2O America (formerly SJW Group) is a regulated water utility holding company with subsidiaries serving customers in California (San Jose area), Connecticut, Texas, and Maine. Revenue is earned through cost-of-service retail water rates authorized by state public utility... Read more

$57.20+1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#4 of 6 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-10.95%
IncomeYield3.09%(5y avg 2.55%)Payout58.22%sustainable
Stop $54.40Target $57.95(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$63.71+11.4%7 analysts
$57.95our TP
$57.20price
$63.71mean
$67

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.5
P/E (Fwd)20.7
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.35
Dividend3.09%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.54bearish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.0
Revenue Growth
4.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.56Resistance $59.13

Price Targets

$54
$58
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HTO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $54.40. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.95 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $54.40. Stop-loss: $54.40.

What are the risks of investing in HTO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is HTO overvalued or undervalued?

H2O America trades at a P/E of 19.5 (forward 20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HTO?

11 analysts cover HTO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $64.

What does H2O America do?H2O America (formerly SJW Group) is a regulated water utility holding company with subsidiaries serving customers in...

H2O America (formerly SJW Group) is a regulated water utility holding company with subsidiaries serving customers in California (San Jose area), Connecticut, Texas, and Maine. Revenue is earned through cost-of-service retail water rates authorized by state public utility commissions. California represents the largest operation with a $1.3B authorized rate base.

Related stocks: SBS (Companhia de saneamento Basico ) · AWR (American States Water Company) · WTRG (Essential Utilities, Inc.) · CWT (California Water Service Group)
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