American States Water Company (AWR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water
Sell if holding. At $75.74, A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC.
American States Water Company operates water utility GSWC (265,142 customers in 11 California counties), electric utility BVES (24,915 customers in San Bernardino County mountain communities), and contracted services ASUS (water/wastewater at 10+ U.S. military installations).... Read more
Sell if holding. At $75.74, A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — American States Water Company
Latest news
- AWR (States Water) delivers narrow Q4 2025 earnings beat, shares fall 2 percent on tepid investor sentiment. - Trending — Newser positive
- American States Water (NYSE:AWR) Raised to Strong-Buy at Zacks Research - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- American States Water (AWR) Expected to Announce Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Pictet Asset Management Holding SA Has $53.50 Million Stock Position in American States Water Company $AWR - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- American States Water: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - KTVB — KTVB neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia10-K Item 1A: 'Our water and electric utility services are provided in California...our financial results are largely subject to political, water supply, labor, utility cost and regulatory risks...and other risks affecting California businesses.'
- HIGHregulatoryCPUC10-K Item 1A: 'GSWC's and BVES's revenues depend substantially on the rates and charges we are permitted to recover from our customers and the timing of that recovery as authorized by the CPUC.'
- HIGHCustomerU.S. government (ASUS contracted services)10-K Item 1: 'the U.S. government is the primary customer for ASUS's contracted services.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWBoard approved 2026 base salaries for CEO Sprowls, CFO Tang, and other executive officers. Compensatory arrangement only; no officer departures or appointments.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOWBoard approved time-vested RSU awards and performance awards to CEO Sprowls, CFO Tang, and other named executive officers. Compensatory arrangement only.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOWCompensation Committee approved 2026 Short-Term Incentive Program (cash bonus) for executive officers. Compensatory arrangement only.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $75.74, A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $72.71. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $79.09 (+4.5% upside). Prior stop was $72.71. Stop-loss: $72.71.
Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
American States Water Company trades at a P/E of 22.0 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover AWR with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $76.
What does American States Water Company do?American States Water Company operates water utility GSWC (265,142 customers in 11 California counties), electric...
American States Water Company operates water utility GSWC (265,142 customers in 11 California counties), electric utility BVES (24,915 customers in San Bernardino County mountain communities), and contracted services ASUS (water/wastewater at 10+ U.S. military installations). All utility operations are in California and regulated by the CPUC; ASUS operates under firm-fixed-price contracts with the U.S. government as its primary customer.