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RTXRTX CorporationSell5.3·$185.97+1.33%
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RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. At $185.97, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

RTX is a global aerospace and defense company with Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments serving commercial and military customers worldwide. US government sales represented 38% of 2025 net sales; international sales were 47%. Revenue from aircraft engines,... Read more

$185.97+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#27 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.93%
IncomeYield1.51%(5y avg 2.13%)Payout51.03%sustainable
Stop $176.72Target $194.15(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$215.73+16.0%22 analysts
$194.15our TP
$185.97price
$215.73mean
$242

Sell if holding. At $185.97, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — RTX Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.5
P/E (Fwd)24.2
Mkt Cap$247.2B
EV/EBITDA18.4
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.31
Dividend1.51%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV35%normal
Max Pain$280+50.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government38%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to the U.S. government as a percentage of total net sales (1) (2)| | 38 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAirbus29%
    10-K Item 1: 'Pratt & Whitney's largest commercial customer by sales is Airbus, with sales...of 29%, 31%, and 48% of total Pratt & Whitney segment sales in 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    James A. Winnefeld Jr. resigned from RTX Corporation Board effective March 5, 2026. Resignation not due to any dispute or disagreement. Board size reduced from 11 to 10. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
7.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
6.1
Value Rank
6.9
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $170.29Resistance $186.46

Price Targets

$177
$194
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $185.97, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $176.72. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $194.15 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $176.72. Stop-loss: $176.72.

What are the risks of investing in RTX?

Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

Is RTX overvalued or undervalued?

RTX Corporation trades at a P/E of 34.5 (forward 24.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RTX?

30 analysts cover RTX with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $216.

What does RTX Corporation do?RTX is a global aerospace and defense company with Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments serving...

RTX is a global aerospace and defense company with Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments serving commercial and military customers worldwide. US government sales represented 38% of 2025 net sales; international sales were 47%. Revenue from aircraft engines, avionics, defense systems, and aftermarket services.

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