Skip to main content

RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $174.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government sales.

RTX Corporation is an aerospace and defense company with three segments: Collins Aerospace (avionics, landing systems, interiors), Pratt & Whitney (commercial and military aircraft engines), and Raytheon (missiles, radar, defense electronics). Revenue spans commercial airline... Read more

$174.90+11.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#21 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $166.48Target $194.54(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$216.16+23.6%22 analysts
$194.54our TP
$174.90price
$216.16mean
$242

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $174.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government sales. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government sales
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.5
P/E (Fwd)22.9
Mkt Cap$232.7B
EV/EBITDA17.5
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.43
Dividend1.57%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV43%normal
Max Pain$105-40.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government sales
    10-K Item 1A: 'U.S. government sales constitute a significant portion of our consolidated sales.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAirbus and Boeing
    10-K Item 1A: 'because we have significant business with Airbus and Boeing, our aerospace businesses could be adversely affected by challenges faced by these or other individual customers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    James A. Winnefeld Jr. resigned as RTX director effective March 5, 2026. Resignation not due to any dispute or disagreement. Board reduced from eleven to ten members.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 16, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Quality Rank
6.2
Value Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
16 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $171.63Resistance $205.36

Price Targets

$166
$195
A.Upside+11.2%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $174.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government sales. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $166.48. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $194.54 (+11.1% upside). Prior stop was $166.48. Stop-loss: $166.48.

What are the risks of investing in RTX?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government sales; Negative momentum.

Is RTX overvalued or undervalued?

RTX Corporation trades at a P/E of 32.5 (forward 22.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RTX?

30 analysts cover RTX with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $216.

What does RTX Corporation do?RTX Corporation is an aerospace and defense company with three segments: Collins Aerospace (avionics, landing systems,...

RTX Corporation is an aerospace and defense company with three segments: Collins Aerospace (avionics, landing systems, interiors), Pratt & Whitney (commercial and military aircraft engines), and Raytheon (missiles, radar, defense electronics). Revenue spans commercial airline OEM and aftermarket, and US and international government defense programs.

Related stocks: AXON (Axon Enterprise, Inc.) · LHX (L3Harris Technologies, Inc.) · NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation) · HEI-A (Heico Corporation) · HEI (Heico Corporation)