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RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $175.85 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

RTX is a global aerospace and defense company with Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments serving commercial and military customers worldwide. US government sales represented 38% of 2025 net sales; international sales were 47%. Revenue from aircraft engines,... Read more

$175.85+10.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#23 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.05%
IncomeYield1.57%(5y avg 2.14%)Payout51.03%sustainable
Stop $167.93Target $193.74(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$215.27+22.4%22 analysts
$193.74our TP
$175.85price
$215.27mean
$242

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $175.85 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — RTX Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.0
P/E (Fwd)23.3
Mkt Cap$236.9B
EV/EBITDA17.7
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.30
Dividend1.57%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.37bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$130-26.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government38%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to the U.S. government as a percentage of total net sales (1) (2)| | 38 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAirbus29%
    10-K Item 1: 'Pratt & Whitney's largest commercial customer by sales is Airbus, with sales...of 29%, 31%, and 48% of total Pratt & Whitney segment sales in 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    James A. Winnefeld Jr. resigned from RTX Corporation Board effective March 5, 2026. Resignation not due to any dispute or disagreement. Board size reduced from 11 to 10. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
6.2
Value Rank
6.6
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $170.78Resistance $196.62

Price Targets

$168
$194
A.Upside+10.2%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $175.85 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $167.93. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $193.74 (+10.1% upside). Prior stop was $167.93. Stop-loss: $167.93.

What are the risks of investing in RTX?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is RTX overvalued or undervalued?

RTX Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.0 (forward 23.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RTX?

30 analysts cover RTX with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $215.

What does RTX Corporation do?RTX is a global aerospace and defense company with Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments serving...

RTX is a global aerospace and defense company with Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments serving commercial and military customers worldwide. US government sales represented 38% of 2025 net sales; international sales were 47%. Revenue from aircraft engines, avionics, defense systems, and aftermarket services.

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