Skip to main content
RTXRTX CorporationSell5.3·$185.97+1.33%
Open full analysis

RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. At $185.97, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

RTX is a global aerospace and defense company with Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments serving commercial and military customers worldwide. US government sales represented 38% of 2025 net sales; international sales were 47%. Revenue from aircraft engines,... Read more

$185.97+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#27 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.93%
IncomeYield1.51%(5y avg 2.13%)Payout51.03%sustainable
Stop $176.72Target $194.15(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$215.73+16.0%22 analysts
$194.15our TP
$185.97price
$215.73mean
$242

Sell if holding. At $185.97, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About RTX Corporation

About RTX Corporation

RTX Corporation reported a total backlog of $268 billion at December 31, 2025, up from $218 billion a year earlier, with approximately 25% expected to convert to revenue over the next 12 months. U.S. government sales totaled $33.3 billion (38% of net revenue) and international sales reached $41.3 billion (47%) in 2025, delivered through Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon, with the company employing 180,000 people across 52 countries, including roughly 32,000 represented by labor unions.

Collins Aerospace earns revenue from aerospace systems and aftermarket services sold to aircraft manufacturers, airlines, and defense contractors; Boeing and Airbus combined represented 16% of Collins segment sales in 2025. Pratt & Whitney generates revenue from commercial engine deliveries and aftermarket—the GTF fleet now powers more than 2,600 aircraft for over 90 operators across three platforms—and from military programs, including the F135 engine that exclusively powers all three F-35 Lightning II variants and received a $2.8 billion undefinitized contract action for Lots 18 and 19 in 2025. Raytheon earns primarily through U.S. DoW contracts for air and missile defense including Patriot, AMRAAM, Tomahawk, and SM-6, plus international foreign military sales. Raw material inputs—cobalt, titanium, rhenium, and rare earth elements—depend in part on foreign single-source suppliers, and recent supply chain disruptions have driven delays and increased costs.

Show full overview

Geopolitical exposure is material: in February 2023, China imposed sanctions on Raytheon Missiles & Defense in connection with foreign military sales to Taiwan, and has since announced additional sanctions targeting the Raytheon business and a Collins Aerospace joint venture. If China were to enforce or expand these measures, the 10-K notes it could potentially disrupt RTX's business operations and constrain commercial aerospace sales in China. Separately, Pratt & Whitney identified in July 2023 a rare powder metal condition requiring accelerated inspection of the PW1100G-JM GTF fleet; shop visit output increased about 26% year over year in 2025 but the program continues to carry cost and delivery exposure.

See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

From RTX Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — RTX Corporation

Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.5
P/E (Fwd)24.2
Mkt Cap$247.2B
EV/EBITDA18.4
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.31
Dividend1.51%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV35%normal
Max Pain$280+50.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government38%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to the U.S. government as a percentage of total net sales (1) (2)| | 38 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAirbus29%
    10-K Item 1: 'Pratt & Whitney's largest commercial customer by sales is Airbus, with sales...of 29%, 31%, and 48% of total Pratt & Whitney segment sales in 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    James A. Winnefeld Jr. resigned from RTX Corporation Board effective March 5, 2026. Resignation not due to any dispute or disagreement. Board size reduced from 11 to 10. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
7.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
6.1
Value Rank
6.9
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $170.29Resistance $186.46

Price Targets

$177
$194
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $185.97, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $176.72. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $194.15 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $176.72. Stop-loss: $176.72.

What are the risks of investing in RTX?

Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

Is RTX overvalued or undervalued?

RTX Corporation trades at a P/E of 34.5 (forward 24.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RTX?

30 analysts cover RTX with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $216.

What does RTX Corporation do?RTX is a global aerospace and defense company with Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments serving...

RTX is a global aerospace and defense company with Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments serving commercial and military customers worldwide. US government sales represented 38% of 2025 net sales; international sales were 47%. Revenue from aircraft engines, avionics, defense systems, and aftermarket services.

Related stocks: FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) · HWM (Howmet Aerospace Inc.) · HEI-A (Heico Corporation) · HEI (Heico Corporation) · TDG (Transdigm Group Incorporated)
Home Stocks RTX

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance62d ago
MarketBeat62d ago
Zacks Investment Research63d agoEarnings
Benzinga63d ago
The Motley Fool63d ago
Quiver Quantitative64d agoProduct
MarketWatch8d ago
MSN8d ago
Traders Union62d ago
Sahm62d ago
GuruFocus5d ago
MarketWatch6d ago
TradingKey6d ago
MSN6d ago
MSN59d ago
TIKR.com3d agoProduct
TIKR.com3d ago
The Motley Fool66d ago
MarketBeat10d ago
The Globe and Mail60d ago
Loading more...