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SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Hold5.8·$113.45-4.05%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Space Exploration Technologies currently lacks a valid trade setup due to a price data gap, and the available fundamentals show a richly valued, revenue-declining business with margin compression despite an otherwise strong Piotroski quality score.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Trap Revenue Decline Margin CompressionDeteriorating
  • Price Data Availability IssueDeteriorating
  • Expensive Valuation Strong Quality ScoreStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $113.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. The company's Connectivity segment operates a high-speed, low-latency broadband network powered by various Starlink satellites in... Read more

$113.45+85.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#30 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $107.52Target $213.04(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 6.1:1
Analyst target$236.71+108.7%21 analysts
$213.04our TP
$113.45price
$236.71mean
$800

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $113.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 85%
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)130.9
Mkt Cap$1.56T
EV/EBITDA177.1
Profit Mgn-45.0%
ROE
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV124%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.5
Rsi
3.0
Ma Position
3.5
Obv
6.5
Capitulation risk (RSI 16, below 200MA)
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 6.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
16 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $110.85Resistance $172.40

Price Targets

$108
$213
A.Upside+85.1%
A.R:R6.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for SPCX.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPCX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $113.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $213.04 (+87.8%), stop $107.52 (−5.5%), A.R:R 6.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPCX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $213.04 (+85.1% upside). Target $213.04 (+87.8%), stop $107.52 (−5.5%), A.R:R 6.1:1. Stop-loss: $107.52.

What are the risks of investing in SPCX?

Negative momentum.

Is SPCX overvalued or undervalued?

Space Exploration Technologies trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 130.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SPCX?

17 analysts cover SPCX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $237.

What does Space Exploration Technologies do?Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada,...

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. The company's Connectivity segment operates a high-speed, low-latency broadband network powered by various Starlink satellites in low-earth orbit, delivering connectivity to various consumer, enterprise, and government customers through its Starlink offering. Its Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space. It offers launch services for the deployment of payloads to intended orbits for commercial and government customers utilizing Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy; and launch and development for the development of spacecraft and the provision of launch and mission services for government agency space programs utilizing Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Starship, and Dragon. The company's AI segment operates a vertically integrated AI platform spanning a frontier LLM Grok; AI solutions for consumer and enterprise customers; X, a real-time information, entertainment, and free speech platform; and AI computational infrastructure. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Starbase, Texas.

Related stocks: GE (GE Aerospace) · RTX (RTX Corporation) · BA (Boeing Company (The)) · GEV (GE Vernova Inc.) · CAT (Caterpillar, Inc.)
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