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ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.Sell6.0·$122.01+1.44%
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Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $122.01: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Construction Partners is a civil infrastructure company specializing in HMA paving, site development, and aggregate production across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas. Publicly funded projects accounted for approximately... Read more

$122.01+7.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.03%
Stop $113.47Target $130.50(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$150.00+22.9%7 analysts
$130.50our TP
$122.01price
$150.00mean
$169

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $122.01: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Construction Partners, Inc.

About Construction Partners, Inc.

Construction Partners held $3.0 billion in contract backlog at September 30, 2025, up 50% from $2.0 billion a year earlier, as the company expanded into Texas and Oklahoma through five acquisitions totaling $1.5 billion in aggregate transaction consideration. The civil infrastructure company operates across eight Sunbelt states with 6,412 total employees as of September 30, 2025. Publicly funded work represented approximately 65% of fiscal 2025 revenues, with state DOTs accounting for 43.4% and no single customer exceeding 10%.

Construction Partners generates revenue through fixed unit price contracts with public agencies and fixed total price contracts with private developers. The IIJA, signed in November 2021, provided nearly $400 billion in new infrastructure spending over five years for highways, bridges, and airports, supporting contract awards across the company's markets. Primary input materials are hot mix asphalt — composed of liquid asphalt cement, virgin aggregates, and reclaimed asphalt pavement — and diesel fuel; the company supplies reclaimed asphalt pavement internally to all HMA plants and mines aggregates in certain markets. Liquid asphalt and diesel fuel price variability affects margin on projects already in backlog, where contractual cost escalator provisions may not fully offset increases. Competition is fragmented across thousands of regional operators and multinational companies including Vulcan Materials, from which ROAD acquired eight HMA plants in the Houston metro in October 2025.

Show full overview

State DOTs constituted 43.4% of fiscal 2025 revenues, a dependency the 10-K characterizes as expected to continue for the foreseeable future. Federal highway funding flows through the Highway Trust Fund, which the 10-K notes has faced insolvency as outlays have outpaced revenues, with annual shortfalls addressed through short-term measures. Any reduction in federal or state DOT budgets in the eight states ROAD operates — particularly after the IIJA's five-year authorization period — could weigh on contract availability and backlog conversion, especially if competition for a smaller pool of public projects intensifies pricing pressure.

See also: Industrials · Engineering & Construction

From Construction Partners, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: publicly funded construction (65.0%)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)52.5
P/E (Fwd)31.4
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth34.6%
Beta0.89
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$160+31.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerpublicly funded construction65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generated approximately 65% of our construction contract revenues from publicly funded construction projects'
  • MEDIUMCustomerstate DOTs43%
    10-K Item 1A: 'projects performed for all state DOTs accounted for 43.4% of our revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
1.4
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.2
Value Rank
3.4
Growth Rank
7.7
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $103.00Resistance $124.99

Price Targets

$113
$131
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROAD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $122.01: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $113.47. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROAD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.50 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $113.47. Stop-loss: $113.47.

What are the risks of investing in ROAD?

Concentration risk — Customer: publicly funded construction (65.0%); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is ROAD overvalued or undervalued?

Construction Partners, Inc. trades at a P/E of 52.5 (forward 31.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROAD?

12 analysts cover ROAD with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $150.

What does Construction Partners, Inc. do?Construction Partners is a civil infrastructure company specializing in HMA paving, site development, and aggregate...

Construction Partners is a civil infrastructure company specializing in HMA paving, site development, and aggregate production across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas. Publicly funded projects accounted for approximately 65% of fiscal 2025 revenues, with state DOTs representing 43.4%; contract backlog stood at $3.0 billion at September 30, 2025.

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