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Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $110.30: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Construction Partners is a civil infrastructure company specializing in highway and road construction across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas via HMA manufacturing, paving, and site development. Contract backlog was $3.0B... Read more

$110.30+20.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.08%
Stop $105.73Target $133.40(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$153.33+39.0%6 analysts
$133.40our TP
$110.30price
$153.33mean
$169

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $110.30: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Construction Partners, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: publicly funded projects (65.0%)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.2
P/E (Fwd)29.8
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth34.6%
Beta0.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerstate DOTs43%
    10-K Item 1: 'projects performed for all DOTs accounted for 43.4% of our revenues'
  • HIGHCustomerpublicly funded projects65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generated approximately 65% of our construction contract revenues from publicly funded construction projects and the sale of construction materials to public customers at the federal, state and local levels'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.2
Value Rank
3.6
Growth Rank
8.3
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $109.00Resistance $151.00

Price Targets

$106
$133
A.Upside+20.9%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROAD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $110.30: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $105.73. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROAD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $133.40 (+20.9% upside). Prior stop was $105.73. Stop-loss: $105.73.

What are the risks of investing in ROAD?

Concentration risk — Customer: publicly funded projects (65.0%); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is ROAD overvalued or undervalued?

Construction Partners, Inc. trades at a P/E of 50.2 (forward 29.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROAD?

12 analysts cover ROAD with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $153.

What does Construction Partners, Inc. do?Construction Partners is a civil infrastructure company specializing in highway and road construction across Alabama,...

Construction Partners is a civil infrastructure company specializing in highway and road construction across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas via HMA manufacturing, paving, and site development. Contract backlog was $3.0B at September 30, 2025; ~65% of revenues from publicly funded projects.

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