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REZIResideo Technologies, Inc.Sell5.6·$20.71+1.22%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Resideo Technologies offers deep valuation with a forward P/E of 10.1x and a PEG ratio of 0.05, and analysts see 55% upside to consensus targets, but below-average business quality and a recent C-suite change add execution risk to any recovery thesis.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor RiskImproving
  • Deep Value Analyst UpsideImproving
  • Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellValueModerate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.71: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.31; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Resideo Technologies makes sensing and controls products for home comfort, safety, and security through its Products and Solutions segment, and distributes specialty low-voltage products through ADI Global Distribution. Revenue comes from approximately 100,000 professional... Read more

$20.71+42.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 19 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-61.13%
Stop $19.50Target $29.11(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$34.25+65.4%4 analysts
$29.11our TP
$20.71price
$34.25mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.71: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.31; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Resideo Technologies, Inc.

About Resideo Technologies, Inc.

Resideo Technologies operates two segments — Products and Solutions (sensing, controls, and safety products for residential and commercial markets) and ADI Global Distribution (specialty low-voltage products distributor) — serving over 150 million installed spaces globally, with 14,800 employees across 35 countries including 6,400 in Mexico and 4,100 in the United States. International revenue represented approximately 22% of net revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025. On July 30, 2025, Resideo announced a plan to spin off ADI Global Distribution as a tax-free, independent public company.

Products and Solutions earns revenue from HVAC controls, smoke and carbon monoxide detection, residential security products, video cameras, and connected home solutions, sold through approximately 100,000 professional contractors and dealers as well as major retailers under the Honeywell Home, First Alert, and BRK brands. The segment counts over 14 million connected customers and generates component sales to water heater, heat pump, and boiler manufacturers. ADI Global Distribution earns revenue as a specialty distributor to licensed professional installers, with exclusive-brand products sourced primarily from manufacturers in Asia; if key manufacturers redirect distribution, segment operating income could decline. Raw material inputs for Products and Solutions — copper, steel, aluminum, printed circuit boards, and semiconductors — are subject to tariff and trade barrier risk in both segments.

Show full overview

Resideo's Products and Solutions segment relies on single or limited-source suppliers for certain components, and qualifying alternative suppliers is resource-intensive and may cause delays. In June 2026, the company entered a Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing approximately $2,827 million in senior secured financing, restructured in part to facilitate the ADI separation. The trademark license with Honeywell for the Honeywell Home brand is a material third-party arrangement; if that relationship were impaired, competitive positioning in HVAC and connected home markets could decline.

See also: Industrials · Industrial Distribution

From Resideo Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16

Recent Developments — Resideo Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-08-16T14:22:10Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.0
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE15.2%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta1.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV843%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicinternational revenue22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our international revenue represented approximately 22% of our net revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMSuppliersingle or limited source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'some of which are supplied by single or limited source suppliers/manufacturers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-04Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Resideo entered Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing ~$2,827 million in senior secured financing, amended to facilitate the pending ADI Global Distribution spin-off. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. serves as administrative agent.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Directors Nathan Sleeper and Cynthia Hostetler notified Board of intent to resign effective upon ADI separation consummation to join ADI board; no disagreement cited. CEO Jay Geldmacher will resign after new CEO is appointed at separation; no successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.8
Net Margin
2.8
Roa
3.1
Operating Margin
3.2
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Roe
5.1
Current Ratio
7.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -446% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
4.0
Value Rank
9.1
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.10Resistance $27.35

Price Targets

$20
$29
A.Upside+42.0%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REZI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.71: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.31; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $19.50. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REZI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.11 (+42.0% upside). Prior stop was $19.50. Stop-loss: $19.50.

What are the risks of investing in REZI?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is REZI overvalued or undervalued?

Resideo Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.0 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REZI?

10 analysts cover REZI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Resideo Technologies, Inc. do?Resideo Technologies makes sensing and controls products for home comfort, safety, and security through its Products...

Resideo Technologies makes sensing and controls products for home comfort, safety, and security through its Products and Solutions segment, and distributes specialty low-voltage products through ADI Global Distribution. Revenue comes from approximately 100,000 professional contractors, installers, and OEMs globally, with 14,800 employees across 35 countries. A planned spin-off of ADI Global Distribution, announced July 30, 2025, would create two independent public companies.

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