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Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.81: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality.

Resideo Technologies makes and distributes home comfort, safety, and security products (Honeywell Home, BRK, First Alert brands) via its Products and Solutions segment, and operates ADI Global Distribution, a specialty low-voltage product distributor. It serves approximately... Read more

$40.81+2.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#12 of 17 Industrial Distribution
Stop $38.44Target $41.65(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$49.00+20.1%2 analysts
$41.65our TP
$40.81price
$49.00mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.81: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (2.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn-7.1%
ROE-16.9%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta1.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$15-63.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicinternational operations22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our international revenue represented approximately 22% of our net revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.9
Roa
3.2
Operating Margin
3.6
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
6.7
No competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.0
Bollinger
2.8
52w Position
8.0
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.58Resistance $41.67

Price Targets

$38
$42
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REZI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.81: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $38.44. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REZI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.65 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $38.44. Stop-loss: $38.44.

What are the risks of investing in REZI?

Target reached (2.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is REZI overvalued or undervalued?

Resideo Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REZI?

9 analysts cover REZI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Resideo Technologies, Inc. do?Resideo Technologies makes and distributes home comfort, safety, and security products (Honeywell Home, BRK, First...

Resideo Technologies makes and distributes home comfort, safety, and security products (Honeywell Home, BRK, First Alert brands) via its Products and Solutions segment, and operates ADI Global Distribution, a specialty low-voltage product distributor. It serves approximately 100K professional contractors with solutions in 150M+ residential and commercial spaces.

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