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REXREX American Resources CorporatHold5.9·$44.41-2.03%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

REX American Resources has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters with average positive surprises of 71%, trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 18.9x with a PEG of 0.16, and ranks as best-in-class versus peers on both ROE and margins — but negative price momentum, a quality score of 4.6 reflecting earnings quality concerns, and no identifiable technical catalyst make the near-term timing unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Peg DiscountImproving
  • Strong Earnings Beat Streak ValueStable
  • Best In Class Peer RankingDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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REX American Resources Corporat (REX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States. The company provides corn, distillers grains, ethanol, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas. It also offers dry distillers grains with soluble, which is... Read more

$44.41+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 15 Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.67%
Stop $41.83Target $47.33(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn14.1%
ROE15.8%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta0.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV46%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-01Item 5.02LOW
    New employment agreements for Executive Chairman Stuart Rose, CEO Zafar Rizvi, and CFO Douglas Bruggeman effective February 1, 2026, raising Rose's maximum annual bonus from $2,500,000 to $4,000,000. Compensation adjustment, not a departure; agreements supersede prior contracts.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-12Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved a form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement under the REX American Resources 2026 Incentive Plan for future RSU grants. Routine compensatory-plan document; no personnel change.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the REX American Resources Corporation 2026 Incentive Plan at the May 28, 2026 Annual Meeting. Routine equity-plan approval; no executive departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 5.03LOW
    Shareholders adopted an amendment increasing authorized common stock from 45,000,000 to 90,000,000 shares, effective June 1, 2026; Board also restated the certificate of incorporation to integrate prior amendments.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 5.07LOW
    REX American Resources held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 28, 2026; shareholders voted on proposals including the 2026 Incentive Plan and the authorized-share increase. No contested or adverse results cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.12Resistance $48.30

Price Targets

$42
$47
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $47.33 (+6.6%), stop $41.83 (−6.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.33 (+6.6% upside). Target $47.33 (+6.6%), stop $41.83 (−6.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $41.83.

What are the risks of investing in REX?

Negative momentum.

Is REX overvalued or undervalued?

REX American Resources Corporat trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about REX?

5 analysts cover REX with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does REX American Resources Corporat do?REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States....

REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States. The company provides corn, distillers grains, ethanol, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas. It also offers dry distillers grains with soluble, which is used as a protein in animal feed. REX American Resources Corporation was formerly known as REX Stores Corporation and changed its name to REX American Resources Corporation in June 2010. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Dayton, Ohio.

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