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REXREX American Resources CorporatSell5.8·$44.98-1.14%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

REX American Resources has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters with average positive surprises of 71%, trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 18.9x with a PEG of 0.16, and ranks as best-in-class versus peers on both ROE and margins — but negative price momentum, a quality score of 4.6 reflecting earnings quality concerns, and no identifiable technical catalyst make the near-term timing unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Peg DiscountStable
  • Strong Earnings Beat Streak ValueStable
  • Best In Class Peer RankingStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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REX American Resources Corporat (REX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $44.98: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.7), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.11% of cap).

REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States. The company provides corn, distillers grains, ethanol, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas. It also offers dry distillers grains with soluble, which is... Read more

$44.98+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 15 Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.64%
Stop $42.36Target $45.92(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $44.98: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.7), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.11% of cap). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.7), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.11% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn14.1%
ROE15.8%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta0.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV71%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.23Resistance $46.86

Price Targets

$42
$46
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts5
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $44.98: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.7), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.11% of cap). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $42.36. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.92 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $42.36. Stop-loss: $42.36.

What are the risks of investing in REX?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.7), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.11% of cap).

Is REX overvalued or undervalued?

REX American Resources Corporat trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REX?

5 analysts cover REX with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does REX American Resources Corporat do?REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States....

REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States. The company provides corn, distillers grains, ethanol, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas. It also offers dry distillers grains with soluble, which is used as a protein in animal feed. REX American Resources Corporation was formerly known as REX Stores Corporation and changed its name to REX American Resources Corporation in June 2010. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Dayton, Ohio.

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