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VHIValhi, Inc.Hold5.8·$13.96+2.87%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Valhi trades at a deeply discounted 4.4x forward P/E within a technical breakout setup, but a quality score below the engine's floor, a narrowly failed momentum gate, and an asymmetry reading flagging exhausted upside argue the cheapness may reflect real fundamental weakness rather than mispricing.

Thesis pillars

  • Institutional Constraint Small Cap EdgeStable
  • Deep Value Extreme CheapnessStable
  • Quality Floor BreachImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Valhi, Inc. (VHI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: TiO2 (Chemicals Segment) (90.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (Component Products Segment) (52.0%).

Valhi is a Dallas-based holding company controlled by Contran Corporation, operating through three segments: Chemicals (majority-owned Kronos Worldwide, a leading global titanium dioxide pigment producer), Component Products (majority-owned CompX, a maker of security products... Read more

$13.96+5.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 15 Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield18.17%
IncomeYield2.33%(5y avg 1.72%)Payout49.23%sustainable
Stop $13.02Target $14.72(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: TiO2 (Chemicals Segment) (90.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (Component Products Segment) (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $384M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: TiO2 (Chemicals Segment) (90.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (Component Products Segment) (52.0%)
Market cap $384M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)4.2
Mkt Cap$384M
EV/EBITDA23.6
Profit Mgn-3.5%
ROE-5.0%
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta0.96
Dividend2.33%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductTiO2 (Chemicals Segment)90%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 90% of our Chemicals Segment's sales were attributable to sales of TiO2.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope (Chemicals Segment)45%
    10-K Item 1A: 'during 2024 and 2025 approximately 44% and 45% of our Chemicals Segment's sales volumes, respectively, were sold into European markets.'
  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers (Component Products Segment)52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, our Component Products Segment's largest ten customers accounted for approximately 52% of its consolidated net sales, with a single customer accounting for 26% of its consolidated net sales.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersingle customer (Component Products Segment)26%
    10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, our Component Products Segment's largest ten customers accounted for approximately 52% of its consolidated net sales, with a single customer accounting for 26% of its consolidated net sales.'
  • MEDIUMSuppliertitanium-containing feedstock suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Titanium-containing feedstocks suitable for use in our Chemicals Segment's TiO2 facilities are available from a limited number of suppliers around the world.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02LOW
    Director Mary A. Tidlund notified the company on June 17, 2026 of her resignation from the board effective June 30, 2026, not the result of any disagreement with the company.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Following the death of director W. Hayden McIlroy, the board appointed Randy L. Hill, a partner at Opportune LLP and former longtime KPMG audit partner, to fill the board vacancy and serve on the audit committee.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-21Item 5.07LOW
    At the May 21, 2026 annual meeting, stockholders voted on two proposals described in the company's definitive proxy statement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.2
Moat
3.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.8
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.30Resistance $15.02

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $384M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VHI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: TiO2 (Chemicals Segment) (90.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (Component Products Segment) (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $384M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $14.72 (+5.4%), stop $13.02 (−7.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VHI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.72 (+5.4% upside). Target $14.72 (+5.4%), stop $13.02 (−7.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $13.02.

What are the risks of investing in VHI?

Concentration risk — Product: TiO2 (Chemicals Segment) (90.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (Component Products Segment) (52.0%); Market cap $384M below $400M minimum.

Is VHI overvalued or undervalued?

Valhi, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 4.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VHI?

8 analysts cover VHI with a consensus score of 2.1/5.

What does Valhi, Inc. do?Valhi is a Dallas-based holding company controlled by Contran Corporation, operating through three segments: Chemicals...

Valhi is a Dallas-based holding company controlled by Contran Corporation, operating through three segments: Chemicals (majority-owned Kronos Worldwide, a leading global titanium dioxide pigment producer), Component Products (majority-owned CompX, a maker of security products and marine hardware), and Real Estate Management and Development in Henderson, Nevada. TiO2 sales made up approximately 90% of Chemicals Segment revenue in 2025, with 45% of that segment's volume sold into Europe.

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