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RBCRBC Bearings IncorporatedHold6.3·$560.49+1.13%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RBC Bearings is a precision bearings manufacturer with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a 4-for-4 earnings beat streak averaging 6.0% positive surprise, and a golden cross breakout pattern, but trading above analyst price targets with -1.5% negative upside at a forward P/E of 37.6x limits the near-term entry case.

Thesis pillars

  • Industrial Segment ConcentrationStable
  • Perfect Piotroski Breakout AlignmentStable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $560.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and... Read more

$560.49-1.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.61%
Stop $531.40Target $594.22(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$633.25+13.0%8 analysts
$594.22our TP
$560.49price
$633.25mean
$490
$686

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $560.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About RBC Bearings Incorporated

About RBC Bearings Incorporated

RBC Bearings carried a $2.3 billion order backlog as of March 28, 2026—more than double the $0.9 billion recorded at March 29, 2025—with $1.1 billion attributable to marine-related programs and $0.6 billion to VACCO programs. The Industrial segment contributed 58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026, with Aerospace & Defense accounting for the remaining 42%. The company employed 5,816 people across 44 manufacturing facilities in 11 countries, and the top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35% of net sales during fiscal 2026, down from 44% in fiscal 2024.

RBC Bearings earns revenue through a mix of OEM program design-ins and aftermarket replacement parts across Industrial and Aerospace & Defense end markets. Industrial customers include Caterpillar, Komatsu, and Halliburton alongside aftermarket distributors such as Motion Industries and Applied Industrial Technologies. In Aerospace & Defense, the company supplies Boeing, Airbus, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Newport News Shipbuilding, and Blue Origin, with many products custom-designed during original aircraft or weapons development—often making RBC Bearings the sole or primary supplier for the product life. Steel, primarily stainless and chrome grades, is the principal raw material; costs are partially recoverable through surcharges on select contracts, though many fixed-price contracts limit pass-through during inflation. Principal competitors include SKF, Timken, and Regal Rexnord.

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The $1.1 billion marine backlog—spanning naval vessels and submarine applications—exposes the company to U.S. government contract risk: the 10-K notes those sales may be subject to renegotiation of profit or termination at the election of the U.S. government. In fiscal 2026, approximately 1% of net sales went directly to the U.S. government and an estimated additional 7% indirectly, and the Aerospace & Defense segment's share of total revenue has grown from 33% in fiscal 2024 to 42% in fiscal 2026, increasing exposure to defense appropriation cycles and program cancellation risk.

See also: Industrials · Tools & Accessories

From RBC Bearings Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 202677d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.9
P/E (Fwd)33.3
Mkt Cap$17.5B
EV/EBITDA29.7
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth19.2%
Beta1.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.15bearish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35%, 44% and 44% of our net sales during fiscal 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
  • HIGHProductIndustrial segment58%
    10-K Item 1: 'Industrial Market (58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $547.83Resistance $606.35

Price Targets

$531
$594
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RBC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $560.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $594.22 (+6.0%), stop $531.40 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $594.22 (-1.7% upside). Target $594.22 (+6.0%), stop $531.40 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $531.40.

What are the risks of investing in RBC?

Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RBC overvalued or undervalued?

RBC Bearings Incorporated trades at a P/E of 54.9 (forward 33.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RBC?

12 analysts cover RBC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $633.

What does RBC Bearings Incorporated do?RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and...

RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and aftermarket distribution; backlog stood at $2.3 billion as of March 28, 2026.

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