RBC Bearings is a precision bearings manufacturer with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a 4-for-4 earnings beat streak averaging 6.0% positive surprise, and a golden cross breakout pattern, but trading above analyst price targets with -1.5% negative upside at a forward P/E of 37.6x limits the near-term entry case.
Thesis pillars
- Industrial Segment Concentration→Stable
- Perfect Piotroski Breakout Alignment→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Tools & Accessories
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $604.56 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%).
RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $604.56 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
RBC Bearings carried a $2.3 billion order backlog as of March 28, 2026—more than double the $0.9 billion recorded at March 29, 2025—with $1.1 billion attributable to marine-related programs and $0.6 billion to VACCO programs. The Industrial segment contributed 58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026, with Aerospace & Defense accounting for the remaining 42%. The company employed 5,816 people across 44 manufacturing facilities in 11 countries, and the top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35% of net sales during fiscal 2026, down from 44% in fiscal 2024.
RBC Bearings earns revenue through a mix of OEM program design-ins and aftermarket replacement parts across Industrial and Aerospace & Defense end markets. Industrial customers include Caterpillar, Komatsu, and Halliburton alongside aftermarket distributors such as Motion Industries and Applied Industrial Technologies. In Aerospace & Defense, the company supplies Boeing, Airbus, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Newport News Shipbuilding, and Blue Origin, with many products custom-designed during original aircraft or weapons development—often making RBC Bearings the sole or primary supplier for the product life. Steel, primarily stainless and chrome grades, is the principal raw material; costs are partially recoverable through surcharges on select contracts, though many fixed-price contracts limit pass-through during inflation. Principal competitors include SKF, Timken, and Regal Rexnord.
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The $1.1 billion marine backlog—spanning naval vessels and submarine applications—exposes the company to U.S. government contract risk: the 10-K notes those sales may be subject to renegotiation of profit or termination at the election of the U.S. government. In fiscal 2026, approximately 1% of net sales went directly to the U.S. government and an estimated additional 7% indirectly, and the Aerospace & Defense segment's share of total revenue has grown from 33% in fiscal 2024 to 42% in fiscal 2026, increasing exposure to defense appropriation cycles and program cancellation risk.
See also: Industrials · Tools & Accessories
From RBC Bearings Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — RBC Bearings Incorporated
Latest news
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: RBC Bearings Q4 2026 sees strong earnings, stock tumbles - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Hello, I'm "MK Signal," an AI reporter who analyzes U.S. stock hot issues.On the 19th, RBC Bearings - 매일경제 — 매일경제 positive
- NEWS RBC Capital maintains PayPal stock rating on CEO transition - Investing.com — Investing.com neutral
- NEWS RBC Capital raises Viridian Therapeutic stock price target to $34 on trial data - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Analysts’ Top Industrial Goods Picks: RBC Bearings (RBC), EasyJet (EJTTF) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
Generated 2026-07-06T08:31:36Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Our top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35%, 44% and 44% of our net sales during fiscal 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- HIGHProductIndustrial segment58%10-K Item 1: 'Industrial Market (58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026)'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $604.56 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $567.44. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $654.34 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $567.44. Stop-loss: $567.44.
Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.
RBC Bearings Incorporated trades at a P/E of 66.7 (forward 36.9). TrendMatrix value score: 2.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover RBC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $616.
What does RBC Bearings Incorporated do?RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and...
RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and aftermarket distribution; backlog stood at $2.3 billion as of March 28, 2026.