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RBCRBC Bearings IncorporatedHold5.8·$595.07-0.04%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RBC Bearings is a precision bearings manufacturer with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a 4-for-4 earnings beat streak averaging 6.0% positive surprise, and a golden cross breakout pattern, but trading above analyst price targets with -1.5% negative upside at a forward P/E of 37.6x limits the near-term entry case.

Thesis pillars

  • Industrial Segment ConcentrationDeteriorating
  • Perfect Piotroski Breakout AlignmentStable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Earnings in 6 days (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $595.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and... Read more

$595.07-9.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.35%
Stop $563.13Target $635.95(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$620.00+4.2%7 analysts
$635.95our TP
$595.07price
$620.00mean
$490
$680

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $595.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About RBC Bearings Incorporated

About RBC Bearings Incorporated

RBC Bearings carried a $2.3 billion order backlog as of March 28, 2026—more than double the $0.9 billion recorded at March 29, 2025—with $1.1 billion attributable to marine-related programs and $0.6 billion to VACCO programs. The Industrial segment contributed 58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026, with Aerospace & Defense accounting for the remaining 42%. The company employed 5,816 people across 44 manufacturing facilities in 11 countries, and the top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35% of net sales during fiscal 2026, down from 44% in fiscal 2024.

RBC Bearings earns revenue through a mix of OEM program design-ins and aftermarket replacement parts across Industrial and Aerospace & Defense end markets. Industrial customers include Caterpillar, Komatsu, and Halliburton alongside aftermarket distributors such as Motion Industries and Applied Industrial Technologies. In Aerospace & Defense, the company supplies Boeing, Airbus, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Newport News Shipbuilding, and Blue Origin, with many products custom-designed during original aircraft or weapons development—often making RBC Bearings the sole or primary supplier for the product life. Steel, primarily stainless and chrome grades, is the principal raw material; costs are partially recoverable through surcharges on select contracts, though many fixed-price contracts limit pass-through during inflation. Principal competitors include SKF, Timken, and Regal Rexnord.

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The $1.1 billion marine backlog—spanning naval vessels and submarine applications—exposes the company to U.S. government contract risk: the 10-K notes those sales may be subject to renegotiation of profit or termination at the election of the U.S. government. In fiscal 2026, approximately 1% of net sales went directly to the U.S. government and an estimated additional 7% indirectly, and the Aerospace & Defense segment's share of total revenue has grown from 33% in fiscal 2024 to 42% in fiscal 2026, increasing exposure to defense appropriation cycles and program cancellation risk.

See also: Industrials · Tools & Accessories

From RBC Bearings Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)65.4
P/E (Fwd)36.3
Mkt Cap$18.8B
EV/EBITDA34.5
Profit Mgn15.4%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta1.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35%, 44% and 44% of our net sales during fiscal 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
  • HIGHProductIndustrial segment58%
    10-K Item 1: 'Industrial Market (58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
1.7
Forward Pe
2.9
Ps
3.4
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
5.3
Forward P/E: 36.3xPEG: 1.42
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $565.01Resistance $648.93

Price Targets

$563
$636
A.Upside-9.4%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.4% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RBC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $595.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $635.95 (+6.9%), stop $563.13 (−5.7%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $635.95 (-9.4% upside). Target $635.95 (+6.9%), stop $563.13 (−5.7%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Stop-loss: $563.13.

What are the risks of investing in RBC?

Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is RBC overvalued or undervalued?

RBC Bearings Incorporated trades at a P/E of 65.4 (forward 36.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RBC?

12 analysts cover RBC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $620.

What does RBC Bearings Incorporated do?RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and...

RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and aftermarket distribution; backlog stood at $2.3 billion as of March 28, 2026.

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