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QRVOQorvo, Inc.Sell5.4·$97.82-0.30%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Qorvo is a semiconductor company with exceptional free cash flow conversion of 164% and a strong 3-for-4 earnings beat record, but a critical customer concentration of 50% with Apple Inc., declining revenue of -7%, and a stock trading above its analyst price target combine to eliminate the near-term investment case.

Thesis pillars

  • Apple Customer Concentration RiskImproving
  • Superior Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Analyst Target Already SurpassedImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.82 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%).

Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT connectivity), and ACG (mobile cellular) segments. Apple alone accounted for 50% of fiscal 2026 revenue through contract manufacturers, with Samsung adding... Read more

$97.82-19.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#39 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.50%
Stop $91.86Target $112.58(default +15%)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$90.77-7.2%13 analysts
$112.58our TP
$97.82price
$90.77mean
$66
$113

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.82 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-17

Recent Developments — Qorvo, Inc.

Generated 2026-08-17T18:12:23Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202684d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Insider selling

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth-4.2%
Beta1.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerApple Inc.50%
    10-K Item 1: 'Apple Inc. ("Apple")... accounted for 50% and 47% of total revenue in fiscal years 2026 and 2025'
  • LOWCustomerSamsung Electronics10%
    10-K Item 1: 'Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. ("Samsung") accounted for 10% of total revenue in both fiscal years 2026 and 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
2.3
52w Position
7.9
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEINSIDER 2.30%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.8>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $85.51Resistance $99.15

Price Targets

$92
$113
A.Upside-19.3%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 2.30%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QRVO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.82 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $91.86. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QRVO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $112.58 (-19.3% upside). Prior stop was $91.86. Stop-loss: $91.86.

What are the risks of investing in QRVO?

Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Insider selling.

Is QRVO overvalued or undervalued?

Qorvo, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QRVO?

26 analysts cover QRVO with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Qorvo, Inc. do?Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT...

Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT connectivity), and ACG (mobile cellular) segments. Apple alone accounted for 50% of fiscal 2026 revenue through contract manufacturers, with Samsung adding 10%. A merger with Skyworks Solutions, approved by stockholders in February 2026, is pending regulatory clearance with expected close in early calendar year 2027.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.) · MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporat) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.)
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