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QRVOQorvo, Inc.Sell4.7·$85.50-1.87%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Qorvo is a semiconductor company with exceptional free cash flow conversion of 164% and a strong 3-for-4 earnings beat record, but a critical customer concentration of 50% with Apple Inc., declining revenue of -7%, and a stock trading above its analyst price target combine to eliminate the near-term investment case.

Thesis pillars

  • Apple Customer Concentration RiskStable
  • Superior Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Analyst Target Already SurpassedStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%).

Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT connectivity), and ACG (mobile cellular) segments. Apple alone accounted for 50% of fiscal 2026 revenue through contract manufacturers, with Samsung adding... Read more

$85.50+20.5% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#47 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.24%
Stop $82.04Target $102.55(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$91.46+7.0%13 analysts
$102.55our TP
$85.50price
$91.46mean
$66
$120

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Qorvo, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-08T13:28:59Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202621d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.1
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$7.7B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth-7.0%
Beta1.44
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$60-29.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerApple Inc.50%
    10-K Item 1: 'Apple Inc. ("Apple")... accounted for 50% and 47% of total revenue in fiscal years 2026 and 2025'
  • LOWCustomerSamsung Electronics10%
    10-K Item 1: 'Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. ("Samsung") accounted for 10% of total revenue in both fiscal years 2026 and 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.8
Earnings Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -7%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEINSIDER 2.62%=EXTREMENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $84.58Resistance $104.64

Price Targets

$82
$103
A.Upside+19.9%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.5% upside)
! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QRVO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $82.04. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QRVO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.55 (+20.5% upside). Prior stop was $82.04. Stop-loss: $82.04.

What are the risks of investing in QRVO?

Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is QRVO overvalued or undervalued?

Qorvo, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.1 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QRVO?

26 analysts cover QRVO with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Qorvo, Inc. do?Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT...

Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT connectivity), and ACG (mobile cellular) segments. Apple alone accounted for 50% of fiscal 2026 revenue through contract manufacturers, with Samsung adding 10%. A merger with Skyworks Solutions, approved by stockholders in February 2026, is pending regulatory clearance with expected close in early calendar year 2027.

Related stocks: CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.)
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