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QRVOQorvo, Inc.Buy Wait4.8·$90.28+0.58%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Qorvo is a semiconductor company with exceptional free cash flow conversion of 164% and a strong 3-for-4 earnings beat record, but a critical customer concentration of 50% with Apple Inc., declining revenue of -7%, and a stock trading above its analyst price target combine to eliminate the near-term investment case.

Thesis pillars

  • Apple Customer Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Superior Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Analyst Target Already SurpassedDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Qorvo, Inc. (QRVO) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 0 days (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $82.72. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $90.28. Engine's entry $82.72 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT connectivity), and ACG (mobile cellular) segments. Apple alone accounted for 50% of fiscal 2026 revenue through contract manufacturers, with Samsung adding... Read more

$90.28-11.7% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#46 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.03%
Entry $82.72(support + ATR (held))Stop $77.46Target $93.12(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$91.46+1.3%13 analysts
$93.12our TP
$90.28price
$91.46mean
$66
$120

Wait for pullback to $82.72. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $90.28. Engine's entry $82.72 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-28

Recent Developments — Qorvo, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-28T15:19:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.9
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$7.9B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth-7.0%
Beta1.44
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$78-14.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerApple Inc.50%
    10-K Item 1: 'Apple Inc. ("Apple")... accounted for 50% and 47% of total revenue in fiscal years 2026 and 2025'
  • LOWCustomerSamsung Electronics10%
    10-K Item 1: 'Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. ("Samsung") accounted for 10% of total revenue in both fiscal years 2026 and 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -7.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.8
Earnings Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -7%
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEINSIDER 2.55%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $81.39Resistance $95.02

Price Targets

$77
$83
$93
A.Upside-11.7%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.7% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QRVO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $82.72. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $90.28. Engine's entry $82.72 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $93.12 (+3.1%), stop $77.46 (−16.6%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QRVO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.12 (-11.7% upside). Target $93.12 (+3.1%), stop $77.46 (−16.6%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $77.46.

What are the risks of investing in QRVO?

Concentration risk — Customer: Apple Inc. (50.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is QRVO overvalued or undervalued?

Qorvo, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.9 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about QRVO?

26 analysts cover QRVO with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Qorvo, Inc. do?Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT...

Qorvo makes RF, power management, and connectivity semiconductor products across HPA (defense/infrastructure), CSG (IoT connectivity), and ACG (mobile cellular) segments. Apple alone accounted for 50% of fiscal 2026 revenue through contract manufacturers, with Samsung adding 10%. A merger with Skyworks Solutions, approved by stockholders in February 2026, is pending regulatory clearance with expected close in early calendar year 2027.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) · MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo)
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